Quiz: Did This Happen In Russia Or A Democratic Country?

The answers are:

1) B
2) A
3) B
4) A
5) B
6) A
7) B
8) B

(1) The distribution of polling stations by the percentage of votes for Obama in the 2008 Presidential elections in the state of New York.

This happened in a democratic country.

(2) The dependence of the share of the vote for each of two parties on turnout in Moscow in the 2011 Duma elections. Each dot represents a region. Each region has a few dozen polling stations, and represents a few tens of thousands of voters. Part A is United Russia, Party B is the Communist Party.

This is almost the same graph as the one in Shpilkin’s [famous article about falsifications]. Only difference is that I grouped the data by region, so that it would be easier to compare with the graph for London in No.5, where there is no data at the level of individual polling stations.

This happened in Russia.

(3) In Detroit during the 2008 Presidential elections, more than 300,000 people voted. Of them some 97% voted for Obama, who went on to win nationally (albeit with a much lower score of 53%). Obama got 100% of the vote in more than 15 of the six hundred precincts of Detroit. The biggest of the precincts where he got 100% had 580 voters.

This happened in a democratic country.

(4) The distribution of polling stations by the percentage of votes for United Russia in Tatarstan in the 2011 Duma elections.

This happened in Russia.

(5) The dependence of the share of the vote on turnout in London during the 2010 Parliamentary elections. Each dot represents a region. Each regions represents a few tens of thousands of voters. Party A are the Conservatives, while Party B are Labour.

This correlation between party vote and turnout in the UK was discovered by Sergey Kuznetsov. I gave a simple explanation for this mysterious phenomenon in this article.

This happened in a democratic country.

(6) The distribution of polling stations by the percentage of votes for United Russia in the 2011 Duma elections in Dagestan.

This happened in Russia.

(7) In one region, in districts where turnout was less than 65%, the Conservatives got 30%, while Labour got 39%. But in districts where turnout was higher than 65%, the Conservatives got 46%, while Labour got only 31%.

This happened in a democratic country.

(8) The distribution of polling stations by the percentage of votes for Obama in the 2008 Presidential elections in Washington DC.

This happened in a democratic country.

Turn the page for conclusions.

Pages: 1 2 3

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Comments

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