The AK

This initial section deals with milestones in my life blogging. In other parts of the Archive, posts where I am substantively involved (e.g. personal journalistic coverage) are tagged *The AK*.

Welcome to Da Russophile (2008): My first (surviving) blog post
Interview @ Siberian Light (2008)
In Which La Russophobe Interviews The Russophile Sociopath Blogging At Sublime Oblivion (2011): Possibly the most entertaining creation in the history of Russia watching: “This is like matter and antimatter coming together.”
The World Russia Forum 2012: How To Counter Media Bias Against Russia? (2012)
The World Russia Forum 2013 (2013)
The End of Da Russophile (2014)
“Go Back to Russia!” KK (2016)
Highlights from My /r/Russia AMA (2017)
My Top 5 Most Influential Books (2017)
10 Years of Blogging (2018)
RationalWiki Hagiography (2018)
World Russia Forum 2018 (2018)

Publications

2012 – Putin’s New Russia (book chapters) ed. Jon Hellevig & Alexandre Latsa

Talks, Podcasts, & Videos

My YouTube channel has a large percentage of my videos, podcasts, etc., and I plan to expand my content offerings in the following months.

2014.02.12 – Cliodynamics @ Transhuman Visions (conference)
2014.06.14 – Existential Risks @ H+X (conference)
2014.07.26 – Future of Emotional Health & Intelligence @ H+X (conference)
2015.07.10 – This Kaleidoscope of Truths & The Worship of the West @ Social Matter (podcast)
2016.04.12 – Should Futurists Support Gun Rights? @ Bay Area Futurists (debate #2)
2016.12.12 – American Decade, Futurism, & Political Trends @ Stark Truth (podcast)
2017.01.20 – Return to Russia and Predictions for 2017 @ Stark Truth (podcast)
2017.04.10 – 666D Interuniversal Teichmuller Chess @ Stark Truth (podcast)
2017.05.02 – The French Elections in the Age of Trump (with Guillaume Durocher) @ Stark Truth (podcast)
2017.05.15 – Bullhorns On the Russia Hysteria @ RT (TV)
2019.05.06 – Livestream with JF Gariépy on Russia @ The Public Space (podcast)

Library

This section largely deals with my non-Russia related output. While I am really an pundit without portfolio, there are a few areas that I am especially interested in:

Geopolitics
HBD & psychometrics
Economic history
Futurism & transhumanism

You can follow me at The Unz Review.

Geopolitics

Shifting Winds: The End Of Pax Americana (2009)
Thinking about Nuclear War (2009)
How a Second Korean War will be Fought (2010)
Decade Forecast: The Downsizing Of Pax Americana (2011)
Top 10 Most Powerful Countries In 2011 (2011): This is my most commented piece before I moved to the Unz Review.
Introduction to Comprehensive Military Power (CMP) (2015): Serious attempt to quantify national military power like we can do with economic capability.
Syrian Civil War 101 (2015)
Syria and the Three Wars (2015)
Why Can’t Muslims Fight? (2015)
Turkey Coup: Undone by Demographics (2016)
The Syria Strikes: Who Is 666D Chessing Whose Interuniversal Go Sequences? (2017)
The iPhone vs. The Ikhwan (2017)
The Road to World War III (2018): My most commented post ever.
Shadows of the Past in Venezuela (2019)
*STRATEGIC CULTURE* American Suspension of INF Treaty is Aimed at China (2019)

Sinotriumphalism

A Long Wait at the Gate of Delusions (2008)
The Century without an Indian Summer (2010)
Top 10 Sinophobe Myths (2011)
Why China Is Far Superior To India (2012)
East Asia’s Twenty Year Rule (2016)
China Overtakes US in Scientific Articles, Robots, Supercomputers (2016)
Sinotriumph 101 (2018)
Tracking China’s Naval Power (2019)

Futurism

The Final Gambit: Geoengineering (2010)
Ecotechnic Dictatorship is Our Last Hope of Averting Collapse (2010): See also collapse ethics.
On Future War (2010): See also early musings on railguns.
Simmered to the Edge of the World (2010)
3000 AD: The Rise Of Polar Civilizations (2011)
ARCS Of Progress – The Arctic World In 2050 (2012)
Spellchecked Supermen (2015)
*The AK* Meeting with Robin Hanson (2016)
Adventures in Afrotriumphalism (2017)
A World of 1,000 Nations (2017)
Colonize Space… With Nukes! (2018)
Feasibility of Transhumanist Techs (2018)
Superpower Demographics (2018)
Who Will Dominate the CRISPR Arms Race? (2018)
Effective Terrorism: Pushing Up That K/D Ratio (2019)
*The AK* Moscow Geek Picnic 2019 (2019)

Age of Malthusian Industrialism

Since all personality traits are heritable, and desired fertility is one such trait, a “business as usual” future scenario is that the demographic glut will reverse and lead to a renewed population explosion; in tandem with technological stagnation brought on through dysgenic reproduction patterns, this will eventually lead to the industrial economy reaching its carrying capacity, ushering in the Age of Malthusian Industrialism.

A Short History of the Third Millennium (2016)
AoMI I: Where Do Babies Come from? (2019)
AoMI II: Breeders’ Revenge (2019)
- Breeding Breeders (2019)
AoMI III: The Geopolitics of the Age of Malthusian Industrialism (2019)
AOMI IV: What Is the Maximum Population Earth Can Support? (2019)

Predictions

Predictions at akarlin.com; unz.com.

2016: Predictions; Calibration
2017: Predictions; Calibration
2018: Predictions; Calibration / The Next 2 Years

Successfully predicted:

Green-Black Wave (from 2012)
Investing in Bitcoin

Philosophy

What Might Be Is (2009): Argument for why the universe is a mathematical construct.
What A Picture Wants (2009)
EA and Intelligence Theory (2016)
The Cognitive Chain of Being: A New Approach to Animal Rights (2019)
The Sixth Proof of God (2019): See followup.

HBD/IQ

Race Denial vs. Racism – A False Dichotomy (2012)
Through A Glass Ceiling Darkly: Racial IQ Disparities And The Wealth Of Nations (2012)
Berlin Gets Bad News From PISA (2012): Immigrants do far worse than natives
North Korea, Poster Child For HBD Theory (2012)
“Not Sending Their Best”: World Map of IQ Drop Due to Immigration (2016)
Nor Breeding Their Best (2016)
Our Biorealistic Future (2017)
Coffee Salon Demographics (2018)
IQ in Time and Space (2018)
The (Physical) Strength of Nations (2018)
When All You Have is a Hajnal Hammer… (2018)
Bioleninism in the 21st Century (2019)

Apollo’s Ascent

Apollo’s Ascent is a series of posts – and hopefully, eventually, a book – about my theory that the rate of technological progress can be modeled as a function of existing technology, literacy, and the IQ distribution.

Introduction to Apollo’s Ascent (2015)
The Ancient Greeks Weren’t All Geniuses (2015)
Graphing the Dark Ages (2018)
Cognitive Cliodynamics (2018)
Intellectual Production in the Byzantine Empire (2019)
Human Capital in Early Modern Poland and Russia (2019)

Hive Mind: IQ & Success

Education as the Elixir of Growth (2008): My first ever post on the relationship between national human capital and economic performance
Education as the Elixir of Growth III (2011)
National Wealth and IQ at the Edge: American Exceptionalism, East Asian Mediocrity (2015)
World Map of Chess Grandmasters (2016)
The Wealth and Competence of Nations (2017)
The Idiocy Of The Average – And Why It Matters (2018)
The Geography of the Noosphere (2019)

National IQ

The Geography Of Russia’s IQ (2012)
Analysis Of China’s PISA 2009 Results (2012): Where I am the first to break the news of China’s superlative performance in the PISA tests to the Anglosphere.
Analysis Of Russia’s PISA 2009 Results (2012)
The Puzzle Of Indian IQ: A Country Of Gypsies And Jews (2012)
Are Caucasians Stealing Russian University Places? The Data Says, “Probably Not.” (2013)
Regional Literacy in Late Tsarist Russia Predicts 21st Century Average IQ (2016)
Largest Survey of Russian IQ Yet (2018): See also the associated map of Russian patriotism.

Politics

Limits to Cognitive Elitism (2015)
Immigration and Effective Altruism (2015)
*The AK* Alt Right Safe Space in Berkeley (2016)
Small Government Is a White Thing (2017)
SJWs Attack UCL Neo-Nazi Cabal (2018)
Quantified JQ: Grasping ZOG by the Horns (2018)
The Right’s Human Capital Problem (2008)
PEW Confirms “Soviet Freezer” Theory (2018)

America

Trump’s Seven Nations (2016)
The Ascent of Society 282 (2017)
7 Reasons Why #YangGang Is More Than Just A Meme (2019)

Europe

/ourgal/ Comes Apart (2017)
France and the False Front (2017)
Ossies Are East Europeans (2017)
*The AK* The Absolute State of British Nationalism (2018)
PEW Confirms “Soviet Freezer” Theory (2018)

Economics

Society

*The AK* See Travel section for country comparisons and travel reports.
The 5 Types of Russian American (2012): Somewhat un-PC but true.
*The AK* Triggered by Neanderthal Man (2015): How I first became acquainted with SJWs.
Why Is Russia Bad at Football? (2016)
*The AK* My American Decade (2016)

History

Cliodynamics: Mathematizing History (2009): Introduction to this exciting and mostly Russian-dominated new science.
A Short History of Venezuela, c.1800-1950 (2012)
Skulls for the Skull Throne! (2018)
A Short History of the 20th Century (2018)
Mussolini Did Nothing Wrong (2019)

Culture

*The AK* Meeting with Brandon Sanderson (2015): How much did Mormonism influence his worldbuilding?
Why Russia Can’t Into Vidya? (2018)

Self-Help

Russia

I started blogging as a “Russia watcher”, so to this end I segregated all related posts so that they wouldn’t dominate the other sections. This section consists of selections from The Best of Da Russophile, a large archive I made in 2014 to mark the formal end of the Da Russophile blog, as well as consequent Russia-related posts I have made since moving to the Unz Review.

My long-term intention is to amalgamate most of this material into my long-planned book Dark Lord of the Kremlin.

Core Articles

Reading Russia Right (2008): My second post on this blog, and still as relevant as ever.
Kremlin Dreams Sometimes Come True (2009): Stagnation isn’t the future.
Top 50 Russophobe Myths (2009): A huge set of arguments against the anti-Russian consensus in the West (disclaimer: while I don’t fully agree with many of them, it would be a good exercise for the Kremlinologists to try to refute them).
Responses to Common Russophobe “Arguments” (2009): Identifies some common red herrings and strawmen used by Russophobes to attack their opponents.
The Putin Trolls: Russia Watchers in Their Own Words… (2010-2011)
Why Russians like Putin’s Russia (2010)
Rosstat and Levada are Russophobia’s Bane (2010): Why the data from Russia’s statistics service and opinion polls overturn practically every Kremlinologist canard about “repressive”, “declining” Russia.
*RUSSIAN LIFE* The Kremlinologist Catechism (2010): Summary of the above.

Politics & Democracy

The Kremlin Clans (2010-2012): Beginning with my translation of Vladimir Pribylovsky’s analysis of Russian clan politics as of 2010, this coalesced into an attempt to chart the shifting influence of the security and oligarchic groups around Putin.
Measuring Churov’s Beard: The Mathematics Of Russian Election Fraud (2011): The most comprehensive roundup of statistical evidence of electoral fraud in the 2011 Russian elections in the English language.
*AL JAZEERA* Truth and Falsification in Russia (2011)
Translation: Sergey Lukyanenko – I Will Vote For Putin (2012): Russia’s bestselling sci-fi writer explains why he likes Putin.
*AL JAZEERA* Reading the Russia Election (2012)
The Provincialization Of Russian Electoral Fraud (2012)
Russian Journalists Are Far Safer Than Mexican Journalists, Ordinary Russians, And Their Own Counterparts Under Yeltsin (2012): Statistical analysis that demonstrates that Russian journalists are in fact much safer than their counterparts in a variety of acknowledged “democracies” like Mexico, Brazil, and India – not to mention their own tribe in the 1990’s.
Natalia Zubarevich – The Four Russias (2012): Translation of a sociological analysis of Russia and why Putin’s support will decline.
Putin’s Birthday, Birth Of A Legacy (2012)
What I Learned From Freedom House (2013)
Will Russians Come Out to Defend Putin? (2016)
*The AK* Moscow Protests: The Tumult on Tverskaya (2017)
Russian Nationalism 101 (2017)
Country 282: Avoiding Russia’s Hate Speech Laws (2017)
Elections as Regime Referendums (2017)
An Analysis of Navalny’s Program (2017)
An Analysis of Zhirinovsky’s Program (2017)
Crimeans Send Their Regards (2018)
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Putin Again (2019)
Surkov Is Not A Deep Person (2019)
*scoop* “Assange Should Have Picked the Russian Embassy.” But He Did. (2019): Also see followup comments.

Media

A Gem (or rather, a Ring) from Lucas (2008): The Economist’s Russia hand compares Putin to Sauron.
Paul Goble, Promethean Propagandist (2010): Uncovering possibly the most deceitful Russia “analyst” writing today.
Far More People Protested FOR Putin Than Against, But You Wouldn’t Know It From The Western Media (2012)
Triumphs Of Kremlinology (2012)
Mark Adomanis: Do As US Officials Say, Or Else!… (2013)
The Moor Has Done His Duty (2015): How Western journalists turned on a pro-Western Russian who disagreed with them on one point.
A Short Guide to Lazy Russia Journalism (2016): By Nils van der Vegte, with some editing from myself.
Michael Weiss, the Neocon’s Neocon (2016)
*The AK* Dream of the Civic Chamber (2019)

Liberal Opposition

Translation: Tatyana Korchevnaya – On Liberal Web Brigades (2009): Disillusioned Russian liberal reveals how her comrades used oppressive “web brigade” tactics to quench pro-Kremlin voices (even as they accused the Kremlin of doing it to them).
The Boris Bombshell. Two Years Later. Still a Dud. (2010): Boris Nemtsov’s lies on Russian demography.
Is Khodorkovsky A Political Prisoner? Read The ECHR Judgments Before Quacking (2012): So he was guilty.
Liberals Can’t Be Appeased (2012): An eternal constant.
Why Svetlana Alexievich Won the Nobel Prize in Literature (2015)
Russian Trolls Spreading Measles In Europe (2019)
Russians Are Vidya’s Baddies (2019)

Economy

Why Russia is cemented to the Other BRICs (2010): Why Russia’s economic prospects are more than bright enough to place it in the same group as China, India and Brazil. See similar.
Russia’s Economic “Stagnation” In Global Perspective (2011): 4% annual GDP growth for a country of Russia’s income level is actually pretty good! See similar.
Russia and the Depression That Wasn’t (2015)
The State of Russian Sinology: Past Chequered, Present Dismal, Future Uncertain (2017)
Census of Russian Billionaires 2017 (2017)
Russia’s Technological Backwardness (2018)
Overview of Russian Airports & Aircraft Construction (2018)
Agriculture in the USSR (2018)
Rosstat: Politicization or Modernization? (2019)

Society & Culture

Translation: The Case of the “Stalinist” Textbook (2009): Many commented on the infamous chapter from Filippov’s textbook that apparently “glorifies” Stalinism. Only I bothered translating it so that you can make your own judgments. See summary.
Manipulating Russia’s Manipulation of History (2009)
Reconciling Stalin with Victory (2010): Explains why Russians have ambiguous feelings towards Stalin on the basis of their wartime experience.
Whiskey Trickles Into Russia’s Drinking Culture (2012)
*AL JAZEERA*: A PR Disaster: Five Views on Pussy Riot’s War (2012)
Georgians Are The Biggest Stalinists (2013)
Russian Support of Stalin Is Tribal (2016)
The Roots of Russian Redstalgia (2017)
There Is A Russian Civil Society. But You Might Not Like It. (2018)

Corruption

The Red Slope to Caviar Road (2010)
Corruption Realities Index 2010 (2010): An alternative to the subjective and unreliable CPI from Transparency International.
Names Of The Oligarchs On A Map Of The Motherland* (2011)
Russia’s Corruption In Comparative International Perspective (2013)
If Sunlight Is The Best Disinfectant, Why Is The Russian Mafia State Opening The Blinds? (2013)
Shredding Sochi… in a Good Way (2014)
Roving Bandits in the Wild Fields (2017)

Demographics

Demography III – Faces of the Future (2008): Demographic model on Russia’s future population trajectory. See part 1, part 2.
Myth of the Russian AIDS Apocalypse (2009): Russia won’t be overrun by AIDS.
Myth of the Yellow Peril (2009): Siberia won’t be overrun by Chinese.
Through the Looking Glass at Russia’s Demography (2009): Short summary of why Russia’s demographic “crisis” isn’t as bad as it’s cracked up to be.
Ten Myths about Russia’s Demography (2009): Why Russia is unlikely to see significant population decline in the foreseeable future. See summary.
Russia Demographic Update VII (2011): On the various models and how my predictions have been vindicated.
Was Russia In A Demographic Apocalypse In The First Place? (2012): I compare Russia’s post-Soviet demographic trajectory to those of other CEE countries and find that it actually did relatively well.
Major Misconceptions About The Dima Yakovlev Law (2012): Clearing up the media BS over Russia’s orphans.
The Russian Cross Becomes A Hexagon (2013): Natural population growth in 2012, more or less.
The Rapid And Mostly Unnoticed Decline Of Abortion In Russia (2013)
From Russia To Russabia? Not Anytime Soon (2013)
The “Normalization” of Russia’s Demographics (2014)
Russia Still Doesn’t Have An AIDS Apocalypse (2015)
Russia Becoming *More* Russian (2017)
The Myth of Moskvabad (2017)
Russian Demographics in 2018 (2018)
Anchor Babies >> Birth Tourism (2018)
A Short History of Russian Homicides (2018)
Russia’s Fertility Preferences (2019)
Russian Demographics in 2019 (2019)
Western Media Reports Russia’s Imminent Islamization, Finds One Lunatic Russian Priest Who Agrees (2019)

Foreign Policy

The Western Media, Craven Shills for their Neocon Masters (2008): How the Western media systemically lied about Russia invading Georgia.
Why Russia And China Won’t Fight (2010): Necessary reading for all the Bear vs. Dragon budding sci-fi writers.
A Response To Vadim Nikitin’s Arguments For The “Liberation” Of Khodorkovsky And The Kuriles
The Flight From Reason – The West’s Cold War Against Russia (2012)
A Values Chasm That Can’t Be Bridged… At Least For Now (2013)
Why De-Russification Isn’t On The Cards (2013)
The West Made Its Bed, Now Russia Will Lie In China’s (2013)
Russia Needs To Develop Its “Hard” Soft Power (2013)
The Return of Conservative Russophilia (2017)
US Arrests Russia’s Foremost 2nd Amendment Activist (2018): On the lawless persecution of Maria Butina.
Capitulation vs. Autarky 2.0 (2018)
Butina’s Show Trial Ends in 18 Month Sentence (2019)

War in Donbass

Five Myths about the Crimean Referendum (2014)
Ukraine Predictions (2015)
One Day in a BS-Life (2015)
From Lenin’s Rubble to Russian Kiev (2016)
Trigger Warning: Crimean Tatars Support Russia (2016)
Trump Is Factually Right on Crimea (2016)
*DURAN* Kolomoysky’s Veto (2017)
Perhaps 200 Russian Servicemen Died in the Donbass (2017)
The Ukraine Has Not Yet Perished (And Won’t Anytime Soon) (2018)
Putin Needs To Sacrifice The Donbass To Survive. (Not Really). (2018)
*The AK* Remembering Slavyansk (2018)
31 Steps for the Ukraine (2018)
The Istanbul Patriarch Plays at Pope and Falls Under Anathema (2018)
What If Russia Stood on the Sidelines While Crimea Burned? (2019)
The Future of Russia-Ukraine Relations (2019)
Did Crimeans Support Joining Russia? (2019)
*The AK* Chalenko’s Ukraine (2019)
Is Zelensky Putler’s Puppet? (2019)
What If?: Galicia Rose Up In Place of Donbass (2019)

History

Victory Day Special: The Poisonous Myths of the Eastern Front (2009): Explains how popular views of the Eastern Front are dominated by the memoirs of self-serving former Wehrmacht officers, who glossed over German war crimes and wrongly attributed the Red Army’s victories to its manpower superiority.
Reconsidering Parshev (2009): Russia version of the “Siberian Curse” argument.
The Nazi-Soviet Pact as Second Munich (2009)
Russia’s Sisyphean Loop (2009): My huge essay on a “unified theory” of Russian history drawing on geography, cultural traditions, imperial cycles and belief dynamics. See a defense of the theory.
The Struggle between Europe and Mankind (2009): An exposition of Nikolai Trubetzkoy’s 1920 essay Europe and Mankind, in which he argues that the notion of European supremacy is born of a misguided egocentricity.
Russian Anti-Semitism, Or Just Affirmative Action In Action? (2012)
The Soviet Economy – Charting Failure (2012): Opportunity costs of the central planning experiment.
On Defending The Soviet Union (2012)
Hollywood, WW2, and the Red Army (2015)
The Russian Empire: Too Nice for Its Own Good (2017)
Kyrgyzstan Builds a National Myth on Russian Bones (2017)
The Real Lenin: Traitor, Parasite, Failure (2017)
Centenary of the Bolshevik Usurpation (2018)
Why I am Not Celebrating Victory Day (2018)
The Yaroslavl Rebellion: 16 Days of Freedom (2018)
Russia Did Nothing Wrong (2018)
General Vlasov, Soviet Patriot (2018)

Other Russia Projects

The Kholmogorov Translations

My blog at The Unz Review is the primary source for English translations of Russian national-conservative philosopher Egor Kholmogorov. I do this in partnership with Fluctuarius Argenteus, the originator of the Russoshoe Theory.

Here is a sample of our translations:

You can keep track of new translations here.

Russian Spectrum Translations

Translations from the short-lived The Russian Spectrum translation project in 2013 (see more details here).

Please Answer, Gérard!… (An Open Letter To Depardieu) – Gleb Razdolnov
Sergey Magnitsky: Act Two – Maxim Kononenko
Up And Down The Freedom Rating – TRS translation of the original Russian-language article that I had submitted to Komsomolskaya Pravda… very meta.
Bolotnaya Prisoner tells of Georgian Money and Revolution – Olesya Gerasimenko interviews Bolotnaya prisoner Konstantin Lebedev
The Sacrificial Victim and the End of Russian Homophobia – Oleg Kashin
A Pity the Nazis didn’t Make Lampshades out of Today’s Liberals – Ulyana Skoybeda
The Anatomy of Context – Dmitry Bykov
Jews, Journalists, and Dead Kittens – Oleg Kashin
Vadim Gorshenin – “McCain Looked for a Kremlin Mouthpiece” – Mikhail Rubin interviews Vadim Gorshenin

Archive

Publications

Talks, Podcasts, & Videos

Library

Geopolitics

Sinotriumphalism

Futurism

Age of Malthusian Industrialism

Predictions

Philosophy

HBD/IQ

Apollo’s Ascent

Hive Mind: IQ & Success

National IQ

Politics

America

Europe

Economics

Society

History

Culture

Self-Help

Health & Fitness

Learning

Productivity

Russia

Core Articles

Politics & Democracy

Media

Liberal Opposition

Economy

Society & Culture

Corruption

Demographics

Foreign Policy

War in Donbass

History

Other Russia Projects

The Kholmogorov Translations

Russian Spectrum Translations