В последние дни, ползают теории, что вот там 25%, 50%, или больше населения уже “переболели” новым коронавирусом. Значит, смертность – ничтожная. Расходимся. Идем обратно на работу, в кабаки, в церкви (кому как). Если эта теория – правильная. (Если нет, Вы только что подписали смертный приговор сотням тысячам россиян). Как проверить правильность этой теории? Представим, на […]
По данным миграционной статистике МВД РФ, в 2016 году обладателями российского паспорта стали 265,319 человек. По душевому расчету, граждане Таджикистана получили больше российских паспортов (0.27% от населения), чем граждане Украины (0.24%). Это не смотря на то, что на территории ЛДНР – война и блокада, тем временем в самой Украины – три года насильственной украинизации, продолжающейся до сих пор. Очевидно,
Вот почему нам нужна Большая Красивая Стена вдоль границы Южной Сибири на одном графике: За последние тридцать лет, было почти столько же рождений в пяти стран бывшей Советской Центральной Азии или “Туркестана” (Узбекистан, Казахстан, Таджикистан, Кыргызстан, Туркменистан), с населением 70 миллионов, сколько и во всей России, с населением 145 миллионов. Если к тому же учесть, что в самой
This is the first of my promised Last Three Posts on DR. It’s been a bit more than a year since my last update on Russia’s demographic turnaround, and believe it or not, the cause of this was more than just laziness and lack of time on my part. A different question started bugging me:
Reprinted from Facebook (2018/02/15): Revealed preferences: The language settings on Vkontakte social network throughout Ukraine.
H/t AP for this beauty. It is for 2012. [Click to enlarge]. It speaks for itself so comprehensively that I’m not sure it’s worth commenting further on my part here. Let’s leave that to the comments section.
Here it is, for those who read Russian. The May data also has emigration data, which is not included in the prelimary estimates – that is here. The main points to take away: Births fell 0.3% and deaths fell 0.5%; as a result, the overall natural decrease has fallen from -57,000 in 2012 to -53,000 in
Faced with the utter failure of their doom-laden projections for Russia’s population future to describe reality – it’s population is now not only growing in absolute terms, but even barring migration its number of births now virtually equals the number of deaths – the more guttural elements of the interwebs are now resorting to another
In a graphs-heavy blog post, German-Russian blogger A.S. Schmidt argues that with its far higher emigration rates and lower birth rates, Germany is now in a much bigger demographic crisis than Russia. Demographics in Russia and Germany I have long wanted to compare some of the demographic trends in Russia and Germany but, to be honest,
But first, a note about those two articles published here this morning: As I hope many (if not all) of you guessed, it was a scheduling accident. In particular, as regards the piece “Russia’s Economy Is Now Europe’s Largest,” this is what I expected to see once the World Bank released its PPP-adjusted GNI figures for 2012
Russia’s life expectancy is said to have decreased to 69.70 years, from 69.83 years in 2011 (via Mark Adomanis via Alexei Kovalev via Paul Goble via Izvestia). The figure for 2011 had in its turn been previously lowered from 70.3 years. So what gives? Does this herald a “disturbing trend”? Is Russia entering a period of demographic stagnation,
One of the keystones of the “Dying Bear” meme is the factoid that abortions outnumber births in Russia. As Mark Steyn put it, “When it comes to the future, most Russian women are voting with their fetus.” The only problem is that there is no causal relation between abortions and demographic health whatsoever – and
One of the standard memes about Russia’s demographic trajectory was the “Russian Cross.” While at the literal level it described the shape of the country’s birth rate and death rate trajectories, a major reason why it entered the discourse was surely because it also evoked the foreboding of the grave. But this period now appears
1. For Russian orphans life is much more dangerous in Russia than in America. Let’s agree to disregard the hidden subtext which implies that any country ought to give over its orphans to foreign nationals should it be ranked safer for children. Let’s first examine if the claim that Russia is 39 times more dangerous
Keeping up with the Guardian’s stream of textual diarrhea in its Russia coverage is a quixotic task, and one that I do not really have the stamina for (although Alex Mercouris does this remarkably effectively). Still, when it comes to certain issues I’m particularly interested in, such as demography, or China-Russians relations as in this