Map of Maduro Recognition

Source: Wikipedia.

China has finally come out (functionally) in support of Maduro. With tens of billions of invested in Venezuela, it has more absolutely (if not relatively) at stake there than Russia. It is good to see China taking a more assertive stance.

The EU hasn’t overtly supported Guaido, but it has called for new elections, which translates to essentially the same thing.

Poroshenko comes out against Maduro, comparing his electoral opponents to the Venezuelan populist. Kholmogorov has mischievously suggested recognizing Denis Pushilin as President of Ukraine.

Overall, this is a very good reproduction of the usual West vs. Axis of Resistance maps.

If he wants to survive, Maduro needs to hang on tight, support his security forces to the hilt, make sure the Army officers get paid, have the Cubans filter out any discontents in the ranks, and avoid creating a casus belli for the US.

Anatoly Karlin is a transhumanist interested in psychometrics, life extension, UBI, crypto/network states, X risks, and ushering in the Biosingularity.

 

Inventor of Idiot’s Limbo, the Katechon Hypothesis, and Elite Human Capital.

 

Apart from writing booksreviewstravel writing, and sundry blogging, I Tweet at @powerfultakes and run a Substack newsletter.

Comments

  1. My understanding of Venezuela’s elections was that they are extremely secure, more so than most Western nations, with many electronic and physical checks of authenticity for votes.

    Maduro’s incompetence aside, it strikes me as an exceptionally blatant move by the powers that be to recognise Guaido.

  2. Whats the deal with Sweden? I know that they are US puppets, but why is it necessary for them to make it so blatant?

  3. avoid creating a casus belli for the US

    If there is a will, casus belli can always be found.

    Democracy, human rights, humanitarian intervention
    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/01/invade_venezuela_and_get_it_over_with_top_harvard_academic_says.html

    Weapons of mass destruction
    https://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/venezuela/index.html

    Islamic terrorism
    https://www.jewishpolicycenter.org/2018/01/22/venezuela-narco-state-meets-iran-backed-terror/

    And if more is needed, suspicious incident can always happen.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Bogot%C3%A1_car_bombing

  4. I wonder if China and Russia will force market reforms on Venezuela, and maybe even Cuba, if Maduro survives this. I don’t understand why they tolerate their beachhead in the Western Hemisphere being so poor and vulnerable to unrest.

  5. Well, Russia has suggested a program of economic reform: https://thebell.io/en/scoop-russian-officials-wrote-an-economic-program-for-venezuelan-president-maduro-s-second-term/

    Don’t know if anything will come out of it.

  6. obwandiyag says

    Well, you guys should be happy now.

    Because Venezuela is socialist and therefore the spawn of Satan, according to you.

    (Feeding the poor is Satanic. God wants them to die.)

  7. Dacian Julien Ciolos says

    There are no other beachheads – it’s all “poor and vulnerable”. Even Brazil is not terribly stable country, coming out of military dictatorship only 31 years ago, and peeing on the popular vote as recently as 2016.

    Mind you, I was in the US for several years during Chavez dictatorship, and there was no Venezuelan janitor to be seen. “Poverty” should have driven them out, but instead we had all sorts of Central Americans.

    Searching for a stream live from Caracas doesn’t bring anything, suggesting that the 100 rowdy youth filmed yesterday are still sleeping. Or whatever “poor” and “oppressed” people do in Venezuela. It’s also very hard to find Guaido’s whereabouts. Is he even in Venezuela?

  8. Felix Keverich says

    China is anything, but assertive in Venezuela. What exactly they are doing to counter American coup attempt? Asking “all parties to remain calm” is some weak stuff, when you consider how much China has at stake.

  9. Well, you guys should be happy now.

    You really don’t understand this. I will make it very simple, the fundamental ideology of the neocohens/neoliberals is “invade the world, invite the world”, so naturally I support the opposite. That means no non white immigration into white lands, and no foreign invasions. The reasons for opposing foreign invasions are as follows:
    1) It serves as an ersatz nationalism that is very damaging to white interests as the real deal is replaced by a fake.
    2) It serves the international jew, when these people become more powerful it means they have more power to oppress whites.
    3) It creates more of the liberal “they have to immigrate to Europe because we are bombing them” excuses for mass immigration
    4) The more enemies the US has the better, the more puppets it has the worser.

  10. You really don’t understand this.

    No, actually, I think that he does. Another Socialist resource rich country is in for a regime change into demoncracy because it threatens capitalism via implanting ideas of alternatives to it around the world.

    Socialism is preferred system of governance in undeveloped but resource rich countries because it allows for fairer distribution of the wealth that hasn’t been earned by anyone – rather it was a gift from mother nature.

    So the capitalist fairy tale that someone is allowed to get richer than God because he “earned” his wealth through “hard work” and he should be allowed to keep all his “earned” wealth doesn’t apply.

    Countries like Libya, Iraq and Venezuela chose Socialism because the other option was to allow the national reaches to be looted by domestic thieves assisted from abroad.

    I don’t really think that US has set its priorities straight. It’s not a real foreign socialism that they should worry about. It’s the domestic fake one that is going to do them in.

  11. AnonFromTN says

    There is a joke about a millionaire telling about how he got rich. It goes something like that:
    – When I was a schoolkid, I used to get up early and deliver newspapers before school. Each delivery yielded me one cent. However, I did not spend the money, but deposited it in the bank. Then my grandma died and left me ten million. That’s how by hard work and frugality I became a millionaire.

  12. Felix Keverich says

    btw, I’d like to draw your attention to DEAD SILENCE, coming out of Belarus. Lukashenka now sees Russia, not the US, as the main threat to his regime.

  13. John Burns, Gettysburg Partisan says

    What’s with Uruguay?

  14. I wonder what the extent of China’s support is. Like, is it possible that they have people helping to prop Maduro up? There’s kind of a frightening future scenario here us: maybe they will prop up future regimes in Europe and America, to make good on debts.

  15. Spisarevski says

    Guaido kind of looks like a faggier version of Obama.

    https://i.imgur.com/lBk6blT.png

  16. There is no good socialism. PSA.

  17. Obama, Macron, now this guy, it does seem that the deep state prefers these faggot types.

  18. There is: The US version of it. Socialism could never produce democracy, but it turns out that democracy can not only produce socialism – but produce one that’s of better quality than the original version. That’s because democracy is omnipotent and it can do no wrong. Enjoy your version of socialism – while it lasts.

  19. Guaido does look like Obama. And so does President Widodo of Indonesia:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/1c/Joko_Widodo_2014_official_portrait.jpg/220px-Joko_Widodo_2014_official_portrait.jpg

    Probably their rise to prominence is due to the soft power of the US….

  20. Russia is showing some cojones:

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russia-warns-u-s-against-military-intervention-venezuela-n962091

    The new leftist government in Mexico is siding with Russia and China. Will this dangerous turn of events help Trump get his Wall approved?

  21. Gerard1234 says

    The point is that in 50-60 years the US has never created a puppet state in Latin America that has come anywhere near to satisfying criteria of being democratic, financially prosperous and a low crime state all at the same time….at the same time it has disgustingly interfered in so many naturally democratic/socialist states all for the purpose of stopping them being democratic, low-crime and MODERATELY financially successful over a period of time

    Mexico is basically an asylum of a country as is Colombia – full off immense violence , drug consumption and corruption. These have been the most consistently US-aligned countries in the region over 60 years

  22. Gerard1234 says

    Obama, Macron, now this guy, it does seem that the deep state prefers these faggot types

    In fairness, Trudeau isn’t deep-state, but he is a faggot type

  23. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says the United States won’t pull its diplomats out of Venezuela as ordered by President Nicolas Maduro.

    Pompeo made the announcement Wednesday night, hours after the U.S. recognized Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido as interim president. That decision prompted Maduro to sever relations with the U.S. and order American diplomats to leave within 72 hours.

    But Pompeo said the U.S. would instead abide by Guaido’s directive that countries retain their diplomatic missions in the South American country. Pompeo says the U.S. doesn’t recognize the authority of Maduro and that he doesn’t have the legal authority to break diplomatic relations with the U.S.

    Read more here: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article224948860.html#storylink=cpy

    Maduro and his Army are gonna look weak and impotent when the deadline passes…..

    And the Democrats are gonna look like hypocrites if they do not object to Trump’s interference in another nation’s election…

  24. https://ahvalnews.com/turkey-venezuela/why-turkeys-erdogan-backs-embattled-maduro-against-venezuela-protesters

    Venezuela exported 23.62 tonnes of gold worth $900 million to Turkey in the first nine months of 2018 compared to zero the year before, Turkish data showed. Maduro had switched operations from Switzerland over fear of possible sanctions. U.S. President Donald Trump then signed an executive order in November authorising new sanctions on Venezuela’s gold sector, which would disrupt trade with Turkey. But both Maduro and Erdoğan appear determined to pursue the gold trade. Venezuelan Minister of Industries and National Production Track El Assam visited Turkey last week, met Erdoğan and also visited a Turkish gold refining plant.

    However the warmer relations come at a time when Maduro is losing his grip on power. Trump and Latin American leaders this week said they would recognise Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó as interim president. Shortly afterwards, Erdoğan called Maduro and expressed his support for the Venezuelan president against the United States.

    Turkey’s rapprochement with isolated Venezuela has coincided with warming relations between Moscow and Ankara and deteriorating Turkish ties with the United States and other Western countries. Since the 2016 coup attempt, Turkey has drifted away from the transatlantic alliance and turned increasingly towards Russia. Venezuela, a longstanding Russian ally, has thus also become a potential partner for Turkey.

    Maduro for now still has the upper hand politically and maintains his grip on the country’s resources. His close personal relationship with Maduro has offered Erdoğan a means to secure multi-million dollar trade and investment deals. According to the Turkish Statistical Institute, the total trade volume between the two countries in the five-year period between 2013 and 2017, was $803.6 million, but reached $892.4 million in just the first five months of 2018.

    On a December visit to Caracas, Erdoğan said Turkey would “cover the majority of the needs of Venezuela”. Turkey has become a key exporter for the government’s main social and clientelist food programme (CLAP). According to Venezuelan reports, Turkey is currently supplying 69 percent of the CLAP in Venezuela.

  25. Do you actually think this babble you typed up makes sense? Get help.

  26. Wonderful confirmation of my contention. Thanks.

    Note the imbecile opposing you’s only argument is “Socialism bad.” Deathless prose.

  27. Not my problem if you are stupid, I would suggest some reading reading comprehension courses, but I suspect your ability to learn things is insufficient for this.

  28. Sure. That’s why starving people returned the incumbent.

  29. If Maduro was feeding the poor we wouldn’t be having this conversation.

  30. That is what criminals in prison believe, that all wealth is inherited or stolen.

  31. reiner Tor says

    That might be a very good argument, though I have two counter arguments:

    1) voters might be stupid or voting based on kinda tribal loyalties despite the obvious failures of the government; it’s also possible that the opposition proposes policies which would (at least in the short term) be even worse for the poor masses. So it’s not inconceivable that people actually voted Maduro back in office.

    2) why didn’t Maduro cheat in the parliamentary elections, too? Conversely, if the parliamentary elections were clean, then perhaps the presidential election was clean, too?

    Anyway, I don’t have an idea how clean (or not) those elections were. For all I know, Maduro did cheat.

  32. Probable playbook of coming events in Venezuela:

    Blackwater type mercenaries dressed as regular Venezuelan troops will
    Fire on Guaido’s supporters. Like the Maidan incident utilizing snipers.

    Some false flag type event involving US citizens living in Venezuela, and or diplomats

    Jet fighters with official Venezuelan insignia will be flown from Colombian airbases near the frontier And strafe/bomb the US Embassy compound.

    This will give the US military the justification for taking out all government airfields.

    US warships will start a complete blockade of all Venezuelan port preventing the exporting
    Of crude oil.

    Colombian/Brazilian troops will occupy the border areas.

    A very simple affair, the US has been doing this in the Western Hemisphere for 120 years since the USS Maine was blown up in Havana harbor in 1898.

  33. Macon Richardson says

    You must understand that their are two types of puppet, the ones you control by strings from outside and the ones you control by sticking your hand up their backside and manipulating them from inside. Sweden is the latter type.

  34. Liar. And what “conversation”? There is no conversing with congenital liars like you.

  35. Those “criminals” are a lot smarter than you, sucker.

  36. Russia, China, South Africa and Equatorial Guinea blocked a U.S. push for a U.N. Security Council statement expressing full support for Venezuela’s National Assembly as the country’s “only democratically elected institution.”

    The same four countries also voted against holding the Security Council meeting. Nine countries voted in favor of the meeting, while Ivory Coast and Indonesia abstained.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-un/russia-china-block-u-s-push-for-u-n-to-back-venezuelas-guaido-idUSKCN1PK0EM

  37. A sparrow flew through open window into my home, sat on my shoulder and whispered in my ear: Why doesn’t these disgusting, God forsaken, superpowers with their murderous gangs of thieves and lying propaganda machines just leave Venezuela alone? Then the inhabitants can vote for whatever leaders and economic policies they want and probably deserve?

    This idea has to be taken with a grain of salt, after all Icelandic sparrows are known dreamers – it’s probably natural mechanism to survive long dark winter months.