DEMANDRED. HOW FARES THIS WORLD?
Open Thread 44
This Post about *default,
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was written by Anatoly Karlin for Russian Reaction on June 4, 2018
Apart from writing books, reviews, travel writing, and sundry blogging, Karlin Tweets at @powerfultakes and runs a Substack newsletter.
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According to al-arabiya MbS is to attend the opening of the world cup on June 14:
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/sports/2018/06/03/Saudi-Crown-Prince-to-attend-World-Cup-opening-ceremony-in-support-of-national-team.html
So maybe he’s still alive?
I hope Russia will at least beat the Saudi scum. I also want the German team to lose in the most humiliating way possible, but I suppose that’s a task for the Argies or the Brazilians.
Some helpful tonic black-pilling from Asia Times, for those who still have illusions about Vladimir Putin, now openly grovelling as a Zionist asset, even tho a demeaned partner in the ‘big power conflict’ show … which doesn’t prevent Putin from kneeling in total capitulation to Israel
Clearly, Andrei ‘Saker’ Raevsky’s oily claims about Putin ‘opposing Anglo-Zionism’, that is just flat-out lying by ‘former’ (HA!) intel agency staffer Saker
Putin & Moscow denounce Iran for ‘anti-Israeli’ activity … as if Putin ‘doesn’t know’ that the ‘ISIS jihadis’ who have been killing Russians, were backed by Israel … From Asia Times –
M K Bhadrakumar, ‘Russia Censures Iran’
http://www.atimes.com/article/russia-censures-iran-expects-israel-to-help-restore-ties-with-us/
Look, I would be the first to condemn Putin for his coddling of Israel and philosemitism in general, but this Bhadrakumar guy doesn’t know what he is talking about. He is like Debka or Magnier, he makes up stuff. For example, I know for a fact that Russia doesn’t have any “foreign policy establishment think tanks” – so I have no idea where he got these statements from. Most likely he made them up.
Who is this Bhadrakumar, a former India’s ambassador to Uzbekistan? I see his articles pop up here and there.
It is shaping up as a potential meltdown for anglo the soft-power, so they will probably do something. Germany will lose at some point, but I am pretty sure it won’t be the Brazilians. I am also watching for the inevitable Iceland fade away, a safe team to root for, but not much of a team. I would put money on France or Spain.
I keep on thinking that the masters cannot let this go on without some interference, distraction, staged outrage. The lesbian hooligans are mobilised, journalists pre-positioned, schaden-freude options reviewed – I hope it is entertaining. After Babchenko and Skripals the bar is pretty high, rounding up stray dogs or claiming that the toilet didn’t flush won’t do. Let’s see what they come up with.
It might be interesting for people here. Published one hour ago, there was an interview with Putin with Austrian TV – they added an English translation:
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/57675
Some random parts
Economy
Support in Moscow:
Is there such thing as Russian mentality and how much it differs from Western European mentality? Why Russian countryside is so bleak and run-down when compared to Belarussian, Lithuanian and Polish countryside?
There are a couple of things in a similar though, but I wonder what publication he is referring to, and what wild conclusions derived.
journal by the government
https://interaffairs.ru/
A non-government group
http://pircenter.org/
Refer to Skoropadasky’s 1918 call for an All Russian Federation, involving Russia and Ukraine:
https://www.eurasiareview.com/22052011-pavlo-skoropadsky-and-the-course-of-russian-ukrainian-relations-analysis/
In addition, the Russian Civil War era Galician Ukrainian Army en masse came under the command of the Russian Whites, who treated the former with more respect than how Pilsudski treated Petliura and in turn how Petliura treated the Galician Ukrainians.
Russian women don’t yell enough at their men for not mowing the lawn or not fixing the fence.
I don’t know if Putin jamming a knife in the back of Iran is good or bad for Russia, but one thing I think we can all agree on is that Russia is morally obligated to destroy Israel and to fight Iran’s wars. After all, let’s be honest here, if it wasn’t for Assad, Hezbollah and Iran, would Russia even exist? I strongly doubt it. If Assad hadn’t graciously allowed Russia to keep him in power, Syria would have become a NATO beachhead that the US would have already launched an invasion into Russia from. And while it is true that the US could never conquer a powerful country like Iran, it’s hard to see them having any trouble with a backwater like Russia.
Putin said this? When has Iran ever done something against Israel? Putin is either delusional or a Jew puppet to say such a thing.
You should be grateful that your President elected to bet on the winning horse. We’re stronger than every country in the region combined. If Russia wants influence in the Midde East, they need to go through us.
Bibi Netanyahu to the rest of the world: I’m the captain now.
What a self serving thing to say. Yes poverty is better than when Russia was at it’s nadir after most of the reforms had already been made (some of which you have since reversed). Now why don’t you talk about the poverty rate now compared to 2012 instead? Wouldn’t that be a more meaningful comparison?
You did a great job coasting off of Yeltsin’s work. Congratulations. Now either return to Yeltsin’s path of reform or step aside for someone who will.
There is plenty of beautiful countryside and picturesque villages (they can too touristy sometimes).
For example, the favourite village of Vasily I, Levitan, Medvedev:
Russia will beat Saudi Arabia, Uruguay will beat Egypt, and Uruguay will beat Saudi Arabia
Thats a nice bet IMO, I usually bet against the Arab teams and I usually win big
However be careful with Egypt, if Mo Salah is in top form they could cause upsets
Are you signed up for cryonics? If so, are you signed up with the Cryonics Institute, Alcor, KrioRus, or somewhere else?
When Putin took over in 2000, Russia’s population was declining at the rate of 1 million people every year in large part thanks to Yeltsin and his team of mostly Jewish reformers, life expectancy crashed. Now, it’s… not declining anymore. This is what purging Jewish reformers can do to your country!
Have you read any of Ted Kaczynski’s writings, such as Industrial Society And Its Future and Anti-Tech Revolution: Why and How? If so, what did you think of them?
Another betting tip, Panama might beat England, depending on the odds this might be a good bet, if you live in the UK it could be real value
Just how many months was Skoropadsky in power? Just how popular could the old Hetman really be if he was helping the German high command fill railroad cars full of all manner of grain and foodtuffs and transporting them to Germany, during the harsh environment of WWI and the revolution? As I’ve already pointed out to you many times, Skoropadsky was the biggest nobody in Ukrainian history (I guess that’s why you’re so infatuated with him) and anything that he wrote or stood for needs to be taken with a grain of salt.
There is a giant poster right next to Maidan with his face and story on it, along with other “Heroes of the Ukrainian Revolution 1817-1921”. There was a biography simply titled “Skoropadsky” on sale in a lot of bookstores, including a bookstore just 1/2 km from the Rada. However, in talking to the locals, Makhno and Petlyura seemed to be a lot more popular.
Putler should have thought about these concerns much more intently before he decided to invade Ukraine and rip off the Crimea (hold a referendum at the point of a gun) and foment war in the Donbas. His concerns are to be taken as seriously today as his country’s signature on the Budapest Memorandum, that guaranteed Ukraine’s sovereignty and respect for its national borders, appeared yesterday. Why would Ukraine want to be in any sort of confederation with Russia, a country that lies and circumvents its obligations and promises? Arming and increasing Ukraine’s military stature is the only thing that will stop Russian aggression and mischief, as the last three years have shown and to which Karlin agrees with:
So, as Karlin points out, as Ukraine has increased its military spending and fortitude, Russia’s appetite for an escalation of operations has diminished. Every year since 2014, Russia’s ability to wage a successful war in Ukraine has gotten riskier and less attractive as a viable option.
You can find posters of almost anybody standing for any position on most any building if you want to.
Can you point to any political figures or parties that look to him for inspiration in Ukraine today?
His grandon, a Canadian, went to Ukraine for a 10 year period and couldn’t get any serious support for his grandfather’s platform. He went back to Canada a dejected man.
Skoropadsky is looked upon more favorably than what you suggest. I’ve come across Ukrainian government approved written material indicating that.
He’s credited with increasing the stature of the Ukrainian language, as well as developing the Ukrainian Autocephalous Orthodox Church, while articulating the creation of an All-Russian Federation, including Russia and Ukraine.
He was in a difficult position during his period in high office, under German domination.
As a military tactician, Makhno has been given a good deal of respect. He comes across (at least arguably) as being more of an anarchist than a Ukrainian nationalist.
Petliura lacked popularity, thereby explaining his willingness to be Pilsudski’s puppet – an arrangement that saw Petliura agree that all of Galicia should be under Polish rule. That move led to the Galician Ukrainian Army, en masse coming under the command of the White Russians.
In fact, outside polling indicates a well over 2/3 Crimean majority supporting Crimea’s reunification with Russia. That jives with the referendum that was taken. Roughly 97% voting for reunification. About 17% of those eligible to vote on that issue didn’t.
It’s quite understandable why the pro-Russian majority in Crimea decided to break away from Kiev regime controlled Ukraine, following the ouster of Yanukovych.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/twisted-history-against-russia-and-serbia/5390154
No, I’m too poor for that. I’ll probably do that if/when I have more savings.
Well written and interesting, but ultimately, I think primitivism is perfectly self-defeating, hence worthless (short of a global Khmer Rouge dictatorship or something like that). My personal inclinations are of course almost entirely opposite to this.
Biosingularity is your preferred outcome, I believe?
What exactly does this mean? Villages are dying and disappearing (and thank God) – this is a universal process. Agriculture in Russia shows stable growth. If about the appearance: in Russia there is a very picturesque countryside – envy Poland envy Lithuania!
https://i12.fotocdn.net/s10/240/gallery_xl/430/2470555119.jpg
https://c.radikal.ru/c05/1806/b6/3dd1c221b6a0.jpg
https://d.radikal.ru/d13/1806/f4/861dbeab1df9.jpg
https://img-fotki.yandex.ru/get/5605/3689816.110/0_8d3e6_55b01828_orig.jpg
‘Jews Are Fighting and the Whole Country Has To Watch’
Jews in Power or Jewish Power? The Captains of Russia’s Post-Communist Economy Invited Uneasy Questions
https://web.archive.org/web/20050306174251/http://www.forward.com/issues/2002/02.09.13/arts1.html
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-belarus-eu/eyeing-possible-polish-u-s-base-belarus-says-no-russian-base-for-now-idUSKCN1IW339
My concern is not that NATO actually intends to invade Russia, or that Russia has any intention of invading Poland (does anyone really think either side is so insane?), but that this leads to increased
tensions which reduce the amount of time either side has to make rational decisions given imperfect information in case of real or imagined escalation. To put it concisely, current NATO policy seems to greatly increase fragility, and Russia will have to respond, further increasing fragility.
Villages are dying and disappearing (and thank God)
Why is this such a good thing?
What do you think is the most plausible explanation for the Fermi Paradox? If the Great Filter exists, do you think it is more likely to be behind us or ahead of us, and what do you think is the most plausible Great Filter?
What do you think of Eliezer Yudkowsky’s idea that the communists were “defective transhumanists”? Do you think it has any merit?
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aFtWRL3QihoF5uQd5/guardians-of-the-gene-pool
Cryonics at the Cryonics Institute costs about $30k. If you pay for it with life insurance, it costs a few hundred dollars per year, IIRC. One other possible alternative to cryonics is plastination.
It seems like if Ted Kaczynski’s revolution actually happened and succeeded, all that would come out of it would be a second Dark Ages. Considering that agriculture and civilization emerged multiple times independently, it seems like civilization has been inevitable since the Pleistocene. Technology would almost certainly re-emerge hundreds of years after the revolution, especially considering that artifacts from modern times that could be potentially reverse engineered would most likely still exist. Assuming Ted is right and that civilization should be destroyed, if his terminal values are something along the lines of “protect the biosphere”, a more plausible way to permanently destroy civilization would probably be some kind of engineered human extinction. For instance, building a superintelligent AI, and programming it to kill off humanity along with all the other Great Ape species, and then self-destructing.
Also, this is a bit tangential, but I’m the original creator of the Virgin Anarcho-Primitivist vs. The Chad Transhumanist meme.
And to think that Lukashenko regime survives only with Russian support! Typical post-Soviet scum – we should overthrowing him ourselves, not waiting for US-backed “colored revolution”.
Dmitry:
The Putin transcript once again attests to the workings of a very agile and perspicacious mind. What a comparison with politicians of what used to be termed the “Free World”.
He hates peasants. IIRD somewhere he wrote that millions of Russian and Ukrainian peasants deserved to be starved to death.
Nobody disputes that a majority of the Crimeans were favorably disposed towards Russia. That’s not the question. What’s at issue is the manner in which the ‘reunification’ took place. Even Putler has admitted that the whole operation was instigated with a military invasion of the Crimea with his ‘little green men’. These were not the actions of a civilized country acting in accordance with accepted norms, a country that was to be held to a higher standard as a signatory of protocols insuring the integrity and inviolability of Ukrainian state borders, but rather the actions of a barbaric kleptocracy that can only deal with the world and its neighbors in a heavy handed and military manner.
The idiocy of country life. Children in the city grow smarter than in the village.
So Belarus is now drifting towards eventually becoming part of Intermarium, whose borders should encompass all the Muslim-free nations of Europe, plus Croatia and Slovenia and perhaps Austria:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/25/Islam_in_Europe-2010.svg/1200px-Islam_in_Europe-2010.svg.png
Well, he is asking Russia to reduce support (“trade”).
Besides, not escalating in that region is also what the Kremlin wants: http://www.vedomosti.ru/opinion/articles/2016/07/15/649326-nasha-karta-afriki
Spend a bunch of money on human холодец? You seem too smart to believe in such fantasies, Anatoly? If you’re really interested in living a long, long life after you die, read about it here (you are at least nominally an Orthodox Christian, aren’t you?). This tract is indeed a ‘pearl of great value’, read it, practice it and you’ll feel much better about your life:
http://orthodoxinfo.com/general/theosis-english.pdf
Such hypocritically flawed BS, given the northern Cyprus and Kosovo examples, relative to what happened in Ukraine, following the ouster of Yanukovych.
The pro-Russian majority in Crimea, understandably don’t want to live in an overly corrupt kleptocracy, which includes the elevation of nationalist anti-Russian influence.
https://www.eurasiareview.com/03032014-humanitarian-intervention-undertaken-in-crimea-analysis/
Is that meant to be ironic? Lukashenko always complains how Russia isn’t doing enough to open its market for Belorussian agricultural produce.
https://www.vedomosti.ru/politics/news/2018/06/05/771856-rossiyu-moloka
^^In reality they are often selling Polish, Lithuanian milk, marketed as “Belorussian”.
The Kremlin is wrong about that. There are certain things, inevitable in life: death, taxes, and a colored revolution in a Kremlin-friendly post-Soviet republic. It is inevitable that Belarus will undergo a regime change at some point in the future, therefore Russia must try to control this process.
The alternative is to wait until Americans succeed in installing anti-Russian government, forcing us to go to war with Belarus as a last resort to prevent them from joining NATO.
The only thing ‘flawed’ is your weak response, including a couple of incomplete whataboutisms. Yawn…you’re more entertaining as a cheerleader for Skoropadsky. Rah, Rah!! 🙂
Ukraine with Crimea but Muslim-free. Very funny
Of course Crimea would not be included. One would think that you would be intelligent enough to assume this – you are not an “idiot” from country life.
But even with Crimea, % of Muslims in Ukraine was very small.
AP look at the map you’ve laid out. On this map Ukraine with Crimea but Muslim-free.
From a venue that’s known to be greatly dependent on US government funding:
https://www.rferl.org/a/putin-calls-us-indictment-kremlin-connected-tycoon-prigozhin-ridiculous-putins-chef/29271696.html
Excerpt –
.
Soros hasn’t been hostile towards Trump’s predecessor Barack Obama, who shares Soros’ disdain for Russia. Trump aside, the US body politic and mass media at large are biased against Russia, in a way that works against Trump from seeking improved US-Russian relations.
Related:
https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2018/02/21/overhyping-us-russian-differences.html (non-JRL promoted)
Excerpt –
What other territories will be excluded from this “Intermarium”? Russia might have a say in that, don’t you think?
The whole idea is stillborn, since none of the countries you mentioned can stand up to Russia without substantial, direct American support. “Intermarium” thus seems inadequate for the task of containment of Russia. It is also not viable as an economic bloc. I explained it yesterday.
http://www.unz.com/ishamir/poland-under-the-jewish-messiah/#comment-2358738
Nothing especially incomplete about the pertinent examples I give on the kind of gross hypocrisy that has been regularly peddled.
In comparison, your reply is quite dimwitted.
You’re just peddling stupid whataboutisms, that’s all- you’re unable to formulate any cogent replies to my statements based on ‘facts and fact based’ analysis. And don’t try any of your famous ‘cherry picking’ nonsense, it won’t work here! 🙁
Ahead of the World Cup: FIFA rankings: Russia – 66, Israel – 98 (next to the last in
the world!), Poland – 10
We’ll see what is going to happen.
Lukashenko and his cronies do not want regime change either and might make more concessions to Russia in order to ensure that the Kremlin saves their asses from exile and prison.
Kaczynski supposedly considered becoming a woman, which I think kind of highlights how much of a loon he was.
https://twitter.com/BhadraPunchline/status/1003991528660918273
You regularly exhibit an inability to grasp facts and fact based opinions that debunk your flawed comments.
That’s your shortcoming – not mine.
Last pile of Crimea’s railway bridge
https://pp.userapi.com/c846124/v846124454/6a522/ycE-3mlo02g.jpg
https://pp.userapi.com/c846320/v846320692/689ff/nwPLXn3z6zY.jpg
Just for fun:
https://cdn.postnews.ru/files/4730514af5baa2788125bdffabca2b2ea4f1ad97f21421cb660698487fa112ab.jpg
Twins Dina and Arina Averina, won gold and silver at the European gymnastics championship. I think this is the first such case in history
There is a certain inherent stupidity among post-Soviet regimes, which makes me doubt this outcome. They are short-sighted, entitled, greedy and very, very stubborn.
Belarus is even more dependent on Russia, than these figures indicate. For example, their exports to the EU are mostly sales of ‘refined petroleum’, made from subsidised Russian oil.
https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/visualize/tree_map/hs92/export/blr/gbr/show/2016/
https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/visualize/tree_map/hs92/export/blr/nld/show/2016/
^totally not a petrostate. lol
The moment Russia raises the price of oil for Belarus, that country will lose a big chunk of its GDP, and most of its exports to the EU. Not that we could use it as a lever in relations with Belarus, should maidanists take over – just look at how Ukraine is behaving.
Oh, really? Anywhere here at this thread where you can point out any of my supposed ill perceived weaknesses? Otherwise your criticisms are without any merit.
I think the Germans letting their women be groped and intimidated, and their girls raped in their own towns, and then making excuses for the attackers and paying for their apartments and food and healthcare, is humiliation enough.
Then again, what do Americans do with Africans here?
By the way, you may recall that I told you of a Ukrainian woman living nearby who I said I would interrogate about the Russian-Polish-Ukrainian language continuum. Well I saw her a few days ago, and here is a summary.
Question: in your opinion, is Russian or Polish closer to Ukrainian?
First some background. She is from Lviv, around 50 (hence Soviet-educated), a physiotherapist (deep-tissue massage) who is locally renowned for her restorative capabilities. She and her husband (Portuguese) grow crops, raise pigs, etc. A nice lady, but in no way intellectual, and with no great political awareness, although she certainly identifies as Ukrainian and doesn’t like Putin. Her brother served in the Afghan war and then became involved in the Russian mafia (as some sort of enforcer, it would seem), and disappeared a few years ago.
Given this background, notably the fact that all her schooling was in Russian (Cyrillic obviously), I have to admit that I was expecting her say that Russian was closer. Or perhaps that they were more or less equally distant. Indeed, I wasn’t even sure how much (if any) Polish she knew.
Her answer was unequivocal: Polish is significantly closer to Ukrainian than is Russian. She attributed this primarily to the fact that Lviv was so close to the Polish border, and the fact that so many Poles used to live there. So one might question to what extent the language changes (in a “non-Polish” manner) to the east of Lviv.
I would consider her a fairly reliable witness, in the sense that she didn’t even perceive the political implications of the question I put to her — thus a far more reliable witness than you or Mr. Hack, or any of our Russian commenters!
Anyway, I have to admit I was a bit surprised how unequivocal her answer was.
Turkish Muslim Austria will not be a good candidate, and that’s the Austria that is rapidly developing.
instigated with a military invasion of the Crimea with his ‘little green men
As I recall Russia was entitled to maintain 25,000 troops in Crimea under the terms of its agreement with Ukraine. So wouldn’t it perhaps be more accurate to say that the Russian troops already (and legally) in Crimea simply put on different uniforms?
I’m preparing an article on that very question (possibly for publication). Check back in a few weeks.
Children in the city grow smarter than in the village.
They are certainly more educated in the city, but are they really smarter? I don’t know too much about villages in Russia, but villagers I have met elsewhere (even Africa) have impressed me with their knowledge of things that no city person would have a clue about.
Would you rather depend on a city person or a village person to feed you?
Sounds stupid (commies are hostile to trans humanism and indeed their precursors, the Russian cosmists). But not going to read Yudkowsky’s long and probably long-winded essay on this in the middle of my holiday.
I’m honored. One of the best Virgin vs. Chads out there.
They weren’t authorized to leave their base areas and to fan out across Crimea. If American troops, for example, left Guantanamo and captured the rest of Cuba this would be an invasion.
To be clear, in Crimea’s case, it was an invasion likely supported by most of the locals.
You can try to hide the facts and make it into any type of charade that you want, but this is who in fact was involved in the invasionary force, according to Russian Admiral Igor Katanosov:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_green_men_(Ukrainian_crisis)
And the majority of Ukraine’s troops in Crimea, which ended up joining the “invading” army. 🙂
It’s only 281 words long.
Give me a break – I’ve never expressed an opinion on whether Ukrainian was closer to Polish or to Russian! But being pressed, I’d say that Ukrainian is a unique language first and foremost, built upon the local Slavic tribal dialects that were there before the modern language evolved (it’s still evolving!).
It’s close to Russian in structure and the Russian language has definitely loaned more words from Ukrainian than the other way around. Ukrainian seems to have more loaned words from Polish than Russian. I’m no expert, but this is my own assessment of interrelatedness of Ukrainian, Polish and Russian.
No need form me to repeat what’s intelligently clear, concise and to the point – much unlike your trolling drivel.
I would be interested in your objective view (and that of AP) of the following “propaganda” depicting how the Russians were able to overcome Ukrainian military forces in the Crimea:
Hopefully Donbas.
Belarus is still not known. It would be nice if it continued drifting that way.
You are not stupid, and your posts about Russia are certainly worth reading. But when your attention shifts westward you spew nonsense; it seems most of what you say about Ukraine is simply ridiculous garbage (Azov are western Ukrainians, Ukrainians are poor or “mediocre” in America, Ukraine minus Donbas and Crimea has a chance of becoming pro-Russian again, etc. etc.). So your judgments about the countries between the western EU and Russia are automatically suspect (I may be mistaken – was it you who claimed that Poland’s financial system is all owned the Germans? A false claim).
I do not think of Intermarium as an entity devoted to “containing Russia”; rather, it is about preserving Europe’s remaining “pure” nations and cultures, who happen to be too small to defend themselves each on their own, allowing them to develop and live without either Western or Eastern interference or dominance. About 130 million people, from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea to the Adriatic, still Christian and relatively traditional, not flooded by outsiders. With borders but hopefully friendly ties with both the falling EU to the West and with Russia to the east.
Sure. In Ukraine most people performed military service close to home. So most of the Ukrainian troops in Crimea were local ethnic Russian Crimeans.
Give me a break – I’ve never expressed an opinion on whether Ukrainian was closer to Polish or to Russian!
Give me a break, I didn’t say that you had expressed an opinion, just pointing out that if you had you would be a less reliable witness on this matter — along with all of the other Ukrainian and Russian commenters here — than the person I intereviewed.
Instead of thanking me for my great contribution to science, you have to nitpick on a throwaway comment I made . . .
I don’t find it surprising. Ukrainian vocabulary shares more words in common with Polish than with Russian, although the pronunciation and grammar structure is more like Russian. So if you focus on just on the words Polish can be considered to be closer.
The person you asked was from Lviv city, not from a village in Lviv province. Lviv speaks standard Ukrainian. In the villages one hears the local dialect, which is even closer to Polish than standard Ukrainian.
When Poles see Ukrainian they sometimes say it seems like a distant Polish dialect written in Cyrillic.
I like how you say “likely supported” – leaving room for doubts, for interpretation. lol
As far as the Ukrainian servicemen are concerned, we have a documented evidence that approximately two thirds of them signed up to serve in the Russian army.
I said that banking sector in Eastern Europe is controlled by Western banks. I do not follow the region closely, and may be unaware of some of the recent trends, but this was certainly true some years ago.
My point is what do you do if Russia decides it wants Belarus? Or Lithuania? How would “Intermarium” stop or deter Russia? To preserve its own vision of Europe? It really can’t. Similarily, they won’t be able to develop their economies by relying on each other, since each of them is far more reliant on Germany and the US. Complete failure all around.
Personally, I’m leaning towards intelligent life simply being extremely rare, and/or humanity is one of the first intelligent civilizations to come into existence, and that the Great Filter is more likely to be behind us than ahead of us.
Every time I try to think of scenarios in which the Great Filter might be ahead of us rather than behind us, I keep finding reasons why these scenarios wouldn’t work, and wouldn’t explain the Fermi Paradox. For instance, take Ted Kaczynski’s explanation for the Fermi Paradox in Anti-Tech Revolution: Why and How:
There are a few problems I see within this explanation for the Fermi Paradox. First of all, it doesn’t explain why the destruction that Ted describes would necessarily be contained to an intelligent civilization’s home planet. Even if Ted is right about the destructive potential of self-prop systems acting in short term self interest in order to out-compete other self-prop systems, a post-Singularity civilization could likely venture out beyond their home planet if survival there became impossible, destroying entire galaxies. It would essentially be a more realistic version of the Paperclip Maximizer thought experiment. Second of all, in claiming that the small number of self-prop systems would likely destroy the world such that they are unable to survive, he seems to not take into account that the most likely self-prop systems in the future will be some form of superintelligent AIs. If an ASI’s utility function is to survive, it could almost certainly find a way to re-engineer itself in such a way that allows it to survive, and would not be tethered to simple Darwinian evolution like organic life is.
As for actual causes of the Great Filter, one explanation I think is plausible is that life almost always goes extinct soon after it forms. Looking at past mass extinctions on Earth, sufficient biodiversity has been required in order for life to survive. The earliest forms of life on Earth were likely some form of randomly generated molecules that could copy themselves inefficiently, with virtually no defenses against environmental stresses, with virtually no biodiversity, and would likely be initially confined to a small area. On top of the extremely unlikely event of life forming, it seems like it wouldn’t take much for this early biosphere to be completely destroyed.
So, you’re in the crystal gazing profession. 🙂 Well, how did my expressed opinion line up with your prophesy of my opinion?
I’m so sick of your paranoid bullshit. The world isn’t out to get Russia, no matter how badly you wish that was the case. Neither the US or Europe are going to start mucking around in Belarus.
…
By the way, if you hadn’t let Ukraine and Belarus leave in the first place then none of this would be happening. Nobody held a gun to your head.
And the Ukrainian government has a pretty good record of who these oath breakers were. They’ll never be able to return to Ukraine, and will always be looking over their shoulders feeling that somebody is monitoring their every move. Traitors never really feet safe and content later in life, often times regretting their huge mistake. 🙁
Well in America peasants never existed, in Europe they became extinct, but in Russia still remained (in very small quantity). As a result of life experience, the words “peasant” and “village” in Russia are synonymous with stupidity.
Of course I’d rather depend on a city person. In 1927-29 Sergei Eisenstein made a film “Old and new” about how a poor peasant woman Martha receives a tractor from the Communist government. In this film, the main role was played by a real peasant woman. However, she (peasant woman) could not master the tractor since she was too dumb. But a professional actress (who dubbed the peasant woman) has learned very well to drive a tractor
By a whopping 70% to 62% margin, according to a source that you earlier provided, without noting any margin of error.
There’s also the matter of how the modern day standard Ukrainian was developed with the motivated intent to make it more distant from Russian – once again noting that Rusyn has words closer or identical to Russian than Ukrainian – as noted to me by fluent Rusyn speakers. And yes, Rusyn can be considered a not so well structured language, as had been true of Ukrainian, before it took a modern standardized form.
In that instance, quite a number of traitors (folks with a different view than your own) relative to patriots (which in your case applies to a narrow minded nationalist) – once again noting that the majority of Crimea’s ethnic Ukrainian population support the area’s reunification with Russia.
I’d love to listen to this, but 2 hours and 25 minutes? I work and have other interests too…
Why don’t you just summarize the most important points (there have to be some, otherwise you wouldn’t offer it up for review)?
When you take an oath it should mean something. It’s not something that one takes lightly or stupid like somebody ‘cherry picking’ what he feels is patriotic and what isn’t, or is worth defending and what isn’t. A traitor is somebody that breaks his oath!
Intermarium does not yet exist. Would Russia go to war with a bloc of 130 million people over Lithuania? Even if it could win, the price would be very high, probably high enough to serve as a real deterrent. This is the goal – not war, but deterrence. And Intermarium would care more about Lithuania more than does the UK, or even USA.
OTOH Lithuania, or Czechia, etc. all alone can do nothing against a larger country. Even mid-sized countries such as Poland, all alone cannot. This was demonstrated throughout the 20th century.
You already admitted that you would like Russia to overthrow Lukashenko and install a Russia-friendly puppet. Or maybe even annex the place. What can Belarus do about it? Nothing. But would Russia annex a region from a unified bloc that has approximately Russia’s population? The equations change.
Did it? Unfortunately, we’ll never really know. A normal referendum isn’t held a couple of weeks after an area has been invaded by a foreign power. And you can’t hold a public opinion today and transfer the results back in time to something that occurred four years ago. A proper referendum should have allowed at least three months of time for all the parties and ethnicities to express their opinions and allowed to present their own platforms. This never took place in the Crimea and it was a sham plebescite, as everybody in the world knows, hence the predicament that Russia finds itself in today.
How can these countries hold their culture while they are completely dominated by western industrialists and banks? They don’t even have control over their borders.
So, you’re in the crystal gazing profession.
Not at all, I was just commenting on the your potential reliability as a “neutral” witness on any matter involving Russia/Ukraine, as compared to my “witness” located in the wilds of island Portugal. 😎
There was neither a poll nor an election at the moment of the invasion so we do not know exactly whether the majority supported it at that time, (we do know an overwhelming majority is satisfied now) so I stated “likely.”
Unlike you, I stick to reality rather than nonsense when it comes to things related to Ukraine.
That’s about the proportion of ethnic Russians in Crimea. Servicemen were mostly locals, and most of those who switched sides were locals.
Ukrainian media claims – and it may be true or not , I don’t know – that after switching sides many of these Crimean servicemen were reassigned to Magadan or other distant places because the Russian military, unlike the Ukrainian one in 2014, didn’t follow a policy allowing its soldiers to serve close to home. If this is the case, it is kind of funny.
Poland has reestablished local control over its largest banks.
Look at how Poland and Hungary defy the EU on the refugees. This is only the beginning. Of course the closer the Intermarium countries become the better their ability to resist outsiders.
If Russia launched a conventional invasion of Poland today, I’m pretty sure Poland would win. Poland’s military is probably the 5th best in Europe (1. France, 2. UK, 3. Finland, 4. Italy, 5. Poland)
I’m not as negative about those Crimean “traitors.” AFAIK they are mostly just local conscripts, most of whom therefore are ethnic Russians. All conscripts are required to take an oath, so they took one. Then their ethnic Russian president is overthrown by the Ukrainian people (who they re not). Russia takes over their native region. What are they supposed to do? Leave the Crimean home where they grew up and move to Ukraine where they may not have family and where they are basically foreigners? Or switch sides and join their community and family as Russians.
There may well be actual traitors there too but I suspect the majority are just local Crimeans who went along with their people.
Yes – lol nothing of the land to match the beauty of the picturesque Lithuanian and Polish countryside…
Although it’s not a place you can conveniently visit for a weekend.
Poland’s military is better, but probably not much better, than Ukraine’s improved military.
Russia would get bruised badly if it simply invaded Poland. But it wouldn’t do that. Russia would just pound Poland with long-range missiles until the Polish army was degraded, and then invade Poland could take Kaliningrad before its army is destroyed but the end result wouldn’t change.
It would be roughly the same strategy with Ukraine, whose military would also give Russia a lot of trouble if Russia simply invaded without bombing from afar first. However Ukraine has developed some good longer-range rockets and is 1-2 years away from completing ones that can strike deeper into Russia:
http://defence-blog.com/news/ukraine-unveils-new-tactical-missile-system.html
Ukraine is also working on hypersonic missiles but those are 20 years way:
http://defence-blog.com/news/ukraine-develops-hypersonic-cruise-missile.html
Poland doesn’t have such stuff itself; in Intermarium they could be shared.
So there is a deterrent in the works.
There’s good reason to be against those who violated the power sharing agreement that they signed with the then Ukrainian government.
Those who left that Ukrainian armed forces on account of the aforementioned situation obviously think so.
Wouldn’t it fairly possible the lack of isolation from rapid spread of information potentially foster destructive memes to no longer be avoidable?
If previously highly lethal and contagious diseases, for example, would have to be limited in their capability because they would “burn through” the local population and would be unable to find a similar vector to other pockets of population due to physical distance, if we equate this to informational memes, it seems possible that the effective destruction of intellectual distance means that if there is very effective hack of the human mind, there is no way for it to be prevented from rapidly affecting the entire population.
Assuming that it is maladaptive but does not have immediately negative results, this means that any harmful but successful memes will essentially achieve species-wide contamination.
I’d love to listen to this, but 2 hours and 25 minutes?
You could also watch it with your very own eyes . . .
As I recall (it’s been a while since I watched this) it is a well-done “propaganda” documentary (that doesn’t mean that it may not tell a version not so far from the truth) of the Russian “take-over” of Crimea, which is a mixture of actual footage, reconstructions, and some fascinating interviews (notably with Putin). One cannot help (at least I couldn’t, I imagine you will be able to) admire the fact that the whole operation was carried off in a very clever manner and with virtually no loss of life.
As for the 20,000 Ukrainian troops which were supposedly ethnic Russian (as per AP), I recall seeing at one point that they were in fact for the most part actually elite Ukrainian troops (as Ukraine was very well aware of the dangerous situation in Crimea), but I can’t find any proof of this now.
By the way, do you know anything about the history of Ukraine International Airlines?
We know from independent polling done, which jives with the Crimean referendum result, as previously broken down further up this thread.
The way Yanukovych was overthrown by those who signed an internationally brokered power sharing arrangement is a sham that preceded Crimea’s reunification with Russia – once again noting the northern Cyprus and Kosovo situations.
With room for improvement, Russia is doing fine – certainly much better than Kiev regime controlled Ukraine.
This isn’t that lady in Toronto is it?
More accurately put, Yanukovych isn’t exclusively Russian and it’s a portion of the Ukrainian population (ethnic Ukrainian and otherwise) who were/are okay with the way he was overthrown.
Why do you want Germany to lose? What good would that do?
This isn’t that lady in Toronto is it?
You don’t mean the pro-Russian Ukrainian-American pianist who played for the Toronto Symphony Orchestra?
http://www.baxter.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/CTCS-Valentina-Lisitsa-cropped-700×400.jpg
Alas no, she would be even more popular as a masseuse than the muscular Lana who raises pigs and cows on an island somewhere in the Atlantic.
But is it about local control? what I mean is look at Russia, a country with vast oil exports, yet its banking sector struggled when the European Union restricted its access to the EU capital. I doubt Poland will fair better.
The problem is much bigger than the current crisis. This inflow of migrants from Africa will continue. How will these countries restrict the future movement of these migrants? Say 10 or 20 years from now when Eastern Europe become more economically attractive and the labor shortage start lifting wages up.
The main obstacle to an Intermarium is the fact that the V4 + Croatia & Slovenia are now deeply integrated into the Western framework. It is difficult to overestimate the accumulated impact this has given over the course of close to 20 years now (we joined NATO in the late 90s). Nor is it just militarily or politically. V4 and German trade now exceeds French-German trade and it is putting ever-greater distance between them. Germany now has a core economic interest in keeping us close, and this will seep into geopolitics.
Furthermore, even if NATO disbanded tomorrow, there are already accelerated efforts to have a EU-wide equivalent. Germany’s Rheinsmetall is already co-operating with some of our companies on an APU and among projects. It was Orban which was a leading force behind PESCO – the initial step of this kind – and he was strongly supported by us. Not just because of our traditional pro-Hungarian stance but also because it makes sense.
You’re correct that Poland would have little to no chance in any conventional conflict with Russia. That’s also why I think any conventional discussion is fundamentally moot. In the world we live in, the only countries that are truly strategically autonomous are those with an independent nuclear deterrent, preferably being capable to deliver it on three fronts (underwater, ICBM as well as through the airforce). Today this is roughly six countries or so. For intermarium to truly become something more than a concept, it would have to begin with a strong nuclear deterrent. Otherwise, Russia would easily be able to waltz in and disrupt the party, whatever we may feel like it. What makes you think Orban would send his boys to fight Russia on behalf of Lithuania or Ukraine? Or even the Croat PM. A nuclear deterrent changes the calculus completely.
But even in the event that such a development was possible, it would still need to overcome both NATO and EU-wide initiatives like PESCO (which will most likely rapidly expand in the coming years). I would prefer an Intermarium, but it would be hard to convince Czechia or Slovenia to go for it given that the West has a strong technological capability and the here-and-now financial, technological and military hardware muscle to defend these countries from Russia with overwhelming force if it decided to. We don’t, as things stand. It would really only be you and us that have any army to speak of.
Finally, I have expressed doubts about the ‘muslim takeover’ scenario. Most Western countries, certainly in Europe, will continue to be made up of secular white liberals in the decades to come with affirmative action minorities thrown in and the odd hyper-assimiliated minority high-achiever, too. Adam Smith wrote that ‘there is a great deal of ruin in a nation’, by which he meant that even in rich countries, there can be great depravity and yet the nation could still be rich and getting richer. Much of the US and increasingly Western Europe are both proving this point. Therefore, the substantial gap between us and them will not be closed quickly, and this will make the discussion harder for most of the countries involved to switch. Not everyone is a cultural romantic like me. Many, if not most, are hard-nosed pragmatists and would choose the US over Ukraine and Poland, however we may feel about it.
A bloc of 130 million sheep, that depends on Russia for energy and without any power-projection capabilities. There is a reason why this part of the world was historically partitioned between Russians and Germans.
Sounds unlikely. Even though in your scenario every individual would be exposed to these harmful memes, it doesn’t necessarily follow that every individual in a population will react badly to them. To continue with your disease analogy, even if every individual contracts a disease, there are some individuals within the population that have some form of genetic resistance to that disease. Take a harmful meme like feminism, for instance. For a population of women exposed to feminist ideology, women who are genetically predisposed to be more conservative and have stronger maternal instincts within that population would be more likely to reproduce, and would in a sense have genetic resistance to feminism. This is one reason why I think the so-called “demographic transition” will eventually reverse itself, and Western countries will eventually once again have high fertility rates. The reason why fertility rates are currently low in Western countries is a mismatch between the current environment and the environment of evolutionary adaptedness. Modern society has numerous factors that lower fertility, which are in an evolutionary sense “diseases”, and natural selection hasn’t had time to catch up yet.
Another thing that can happen is that groups can actively shelter themselves from the harmful memes you describe. Religious fundamentalists are probably the most common form of this. Religious fundamentalists design institutions designed to keep their members in the fold, such as homeschooling and bible colleges, so that few of their members are lost to secularism. This, combined with low mortality due to modern medicine and high fertility rates, is causing their populations to rise extremely rapidly. Another factor which has been studied in the Amish population is that the Amish are undergoing selection pressure for increased “Amishness”. Some individuals leave the Amish community and join modern society, which creates a sort of boiling-off effect, and creates selection pressure within the Amish community for traits that cause individuals to enjoy the Amish lifestyle.
https://phys.org/news/2011-01-religiosity-gene-dominate-society.html
https://www.unz.com/jman/liberalism-hbd-population-and-solutions-for-the-future/
https://futurism.com/genetic-idiocracy-genes-associated-with-high-education-are-becoming-rarer/
https://www.unz.com/isteve/cochran-harpending-paper-on-amish/
Yanukovych’s own party members united and voted against him, like rats on a sinking ship:
You’re the only one still shedding big crocodile tears for Yanukovych, always backing the wrong guy at the wrong time (kind of like Skoropadsky too). Yanukovych ended up retiring handsomely in Russia, as Skoropadsky did comfortably in Germany, though Skoropadsky was by far a more upright individual than Yanukovych.
The ‘Belarus Democracy Act’ suggests otherwise
History extends further back than 1772
Yeah, the us and nato would never try to foment revolution or strife in Belarus and eventually station troops there.
Just like we never expanded NATO eastwards contrary to our government’s promise to the Russians.
It’s not a matter of trusting Russia. I don’t, necessarily. It’s a matter of honestly recognizing that they have very good reason not to trust the us, uk, and other western governments, and many reasons not to trust us to keep our word to them.
But is it really the case that we will have resistance to the harmful memes we create? Highly harmful diseases do sometimes manage sizeable wipeout of populations – the Black Death may have potentially had an airborne version that failed only because it achieved 99% mortality and burnt itself out.
And by definition, the memes and threats that we’re creating for ourselves is novel and unlike diseases, we may never had a similar analogue to resist in the past. Feral cat colonies, for example, don’t seem to evolve a way around human sterilization – its too novel of a threat to manage. Likewise, the dinosaurs(and most life) failed to evolve a way to deal with the suddenly harsh environment of the Cretaceous–Paleogene extinction event.
Consider the privacy threats now; we’re probably reached peak lack of privacy and completely beyond our usual evolved capability to not only adapt, but even notice: an AI that pattern-matches our writing style and speed is something novel beyond our evolved capability and the speed by which we are generating such novel items and threats, probably far exceeds, as you said, our natural selection or compensation mechanisms.
And in doing so, we alter the habitat(incl. social) enough that arguably even “primivists” would also no longer be able to survive.
P.S. I wonder, what’s the closest that Russian troops and military vehicles are, in any real numbers, to the USA’s borders around the world? Might be useful to compare how closely we have placed our troops to THEIR borders. Who is encroaching on and threatening whom these days?
We conduct military exercises in countries bordering or nearly bordering Russia, regularly. E.g.
Poland and the Baltics.
Does Russia conduct military exercises in Mexico?
How would we react if they did?
I am strongly opposed to US policy towards Russia, but just cause I disagree with it doesn’t mean there is some large scale anti Russian conspiracy.
The Ukraine thing was internal, the US and Europe only gave support to the Maidan after the fact. They were wrong to do so but Ukrainians aren’t some soulless automatons being puppeteer’d by the West. And it’s not like Russia isn’t promoting pro Russia politicians in Western countries either (which I agree with because such politicians tend to be anti immigration, except for that useless, Assad loving cunt Gabbard) so nobody has clean hands here.
And like I said, nobody forced Russia to give up Ukraine and Belarus in the first place. If they had held onto those countries then none of this stuff would have ever happened.
In your other comment, you said:
You’ve got a point, but you’ve got to realize that the Western banks, too, rely on this for business. For instance, the Swedish banks treat the Baltic states essentially as a domestic market, but this is primarily because they need this market to finance their pension funds (and they need stable markets in general). You do realize that the loans are being serviced as we speak. The trade with Germany is extremely important, but again – in many ways, it is mutually beneficial (for instance, we could technically try to replace some of the German imports (pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, etc) but that would constitute only a part of it. Had we not joined the EU, the trade would still be there, even if in lesser form. No need to alienate Germany whatsoever. The key here would be to see if these economic questions can be untied from the political discourse (indeed, the level of integration within the EU is very deep, but remember that some of the trade is already within the existing Intermarium states and there is trade with third countries and in those relationships (with the unfortunate example of Russia, ofc) politics usually doesn’t play such a big role – for instance, we could ship a lot of products to Qatar and not worry about their domestic politics and they wouldn’t worry about ours (just have good manners and hope for stability) – I’m not saying we should treat Western European states like Qatar, just that there is always room for a conversation, at the end of the day the supply and demand should determine everything – you may not believe this as a Russian, but a lot is also contingent upon the governments – they can go from neo-liberal to illiberal). Given how things seem to be in Europe today, I don’t see this as entirely impossible. If the V4 can grow some muscle, there could eventually be some wriggle room (and when political systems are in a flux, opportunities often appear for negotiating things). Again, this is hypothetical, but not at all out of the realm of possibility.
Yea, the troop movements are self-evident. Apparently, the Russians even moved the Smolensk tank army (second echelon, meant to cover Moscow) to the Ukrainian border.
This can work temporarily for the Baltic states (whose public, btw, is not at all unanimous about the potential increased presence of US troops – and, frankly, in Poland, too, there should be a wider debate – I understand that these kinds of issues are usually not put up for a public discussion but I think this time it would be appropriate), but the ideal for the Intermarium would be a permanent removal of both of these irritants and building up of own militaries. A big obstacle to this potential scenario is the lack of trust.
Rational.
Found in todays Daily Mail
Oh sure you would never do such a thing.
But long life is suffering.
http://punchng.com/my-long-life-a-punishment-from-god-says-128-year-old-woman/
I am a big fan of Belarus. So far they are doing a difficult balancing act between EU/NATO and Russia. Their situation is all the time precarious but they are doing very well from the point of view of people living there. I wish them to be a Switzerland of Eastern Europe.
Do Western countries have control over their borders….?
True, of course, there are first tier and second, etc., tier countries. By the way, this fact has not escaped the Ukrainian nationalists (no matter how utopian their wish for a nuclear weapon might be).
You seem to be very optimistic about PESCO. And, while I view it positively, my question is still… will PESCO include countries such as Italy that up until recently were literally lifting third country nationals from the ocean into helicopters and transporting them to the EU territory. No intention to pick on Italy (maybe it’ll change its policies given the election result), but you get the point…
In 2001 Ukraine was .7% Muslim (almost all – Crimean Tatars) – so essentially Muslim free, as on the map.
The German team does all sorts of Merkelian multiculti propaganda, and they don’t even kick out the two disloyal Turks Özil and Gündogan who recently met Erdogan and handed him a football tricot signed with “For my president”.
Besides, I just can’t stand those retarded football players who get so much money for kicking around a ball, imo Uday Hussein had the best ideas how to deal with their kind.
Something funny happened the other day… I was listening to a song in Ukrainian, I closed my eyes for a moment, and it almost sounded like the words were sung in Czech or Slovak. It was trippy. A few sentences sounded very “Russian”, but a lot of it – very, very Central European / Western Slavic sounding. The way I feel now, though, is that it is a unique language.
p.s. Anatoly, I apologize for flooding.
You think that cryonics/transhumanism is a fantasy, but you somehow don’t realize that Christianity is a fantasy?
Suffering is ultimately caused by Darwinian biological design of the brain. With sufficiently advanced technology and neuroscience, it would probably be possible to re-engineer your brain in such a way as to radically raise your hedonic set-point. Read about David Pearce’s philosophy of The Hedonistic Imperative.
.
Mr. Chieh got this one right! So what if scientists can prolong life a few extra painful and meaningless decades? There’s no rational basis for a long life (actually immortality) as described in the tract that I linked to my comment #43, outside of ‘Theosis’. It’s the basis of the Eastern Orthodox Church and trumps anything that the transhumanists can ever hope for. Outside of this knowledge, all that is left is a long meaningless life., as described in this fantastic piece found within the ‘Onion’:
Doctors Find New Way To Prolong Meaningless Existence
ITHACA, NY–In a stunning medical breakthrough, a team of Cornell University biogeneticists announced Tuesday that it has developed a revolutionary new synthetic hormone that retards the human aging process, enabling individuals to extend the churning, meaningless void known as life by upwards of 20 years…In all 250 subjects, the drug slowed down the aging process by at least 30 percent, adding years to their futile, purposeless existences…’ was bedridden, just waiting to die,” Dermott told reporters. “But now, they tell me I can go back to that same dock where I’ve already wasted almost 20 years of my life, and waste the rest of it while waiting to die there instead.””I used to be blissfully unaware of my pathetic, pitiable state,” said Klingbell, whose Noexitoxythalynucleothylinase treatments have restored her mental faculties. “Now, the doctors say I can live on without any purpose whatsoever for years, trapped helplessly within the bleak prison of shattered dreams and blasted hopes that has been my life.”..Thanks to Noexitoxythalynucleothylinase, the wasteland just got a little bigger,” said American Medical Association executive director Dr. Gordon Puhl. “We’re all very excited about the new drug and its potential to imprison patients–even if only for a few more desperate, agonizing years–in lives they can make no sense of, see no point in, and find no worthwhile purpose for. As we slowly learn to accept that our pretensions to relevance and meaning are but so many fragile, illusory constructs which crumble like sandcastles in the face of the universe’s utter indifference to our plight, one thing is certain: Noexitoxythalynucleothylinase and other such medical advances will ensure that, for each of us, young and old alike, terminally or mildly ill, our suffering is far from over.”
https://www.theonion.com/doctors-find-new-way-to-prolong-meaningless-existence-1819564846
Hey Karlin, what do you think, are you excited about the discovery of Noexitoxythalynucleothylinase?
Transhumanists of the world can’t wait to get some of this stuff, eh?…
I think we have sufficient technology already: with adequate consumption of opioids and amphetamines, we can probably live in perfect happiness for the rest of our lives.
Religious fundamentalism and the Amish lifestyle seem to be doing just that. Read the articles I linked previously. Political orientation is to a large extent genetic, and conservatives have much higher fertility rates than leftists.
Humanity obviously wouldn’t stand a chance against badly aligned superintelligent AI. I can’t speak for what memes will exist in the future, but the memes that exist currently seem to not pose an existential threat to humanity, and humanity seems to be adapting to them. From a transhumanist perspective, even with stronger selection pressures imposed by technology, genetic engineering and other related technologies means that humanity can develop resistance to these environmental pressures potentially far faster than natural selection alone.
Not unless sufficient technology is developed to eliminate all of the negative side effects.
A few years ago, there was an old fellow who claimed the secret to his long life was eating skunk meat. I’m not sure if it wasn’t really his sense of humor…
If I ever become ancient, I will tell people that it is due to the invigorating effects of nightsoil wordsmithing on electronic media.
Also, what do you think the world would realistically be like today if the Axis won WWII?
Such a thing sounds great, I’m sure there is a hospital right now which needs to have more
hostagespatients toextorthelp.See my previous comment. There’s no reason why the emotions of meaninglessness and suffering couldn’t eventually be engineered out of your brain.
I agree, as long as you discover a way to overcome this hurdle:
Have you?
Seems to me there has been at least a few teams that wore LGBT colors on their numbers. How incredibly bizarre! Could make one believe that there really is a global homo empire, when national loyalties are supplanted by the rainbow flag.
It is really kind of amazing, since the people who go for these types of things probably mostly don’t even like sport, and yet they have the reach and power to make players wear gay colors.
They’ve already developed such a technique, it’s called a lobotomy.
It might also be possible to develop methods of re-engineering your brain to eliminate suffering that also keep your intelligence intact. For instance, destroying/weakening your amygdala using gamma knife radiosurgery could reduce/eliminate anxiety while not damaging other parts of the brain. Google Patient SM.
That wouldn’t satisfy my (presently existing) desire to not have a meaningless life though.
How do you define “meaningless”?
However, with the transmission vector being as universal as it is, is it not a viable consideration that we only need one sufficiently toxic meme to pose an existential threat to cause significant, even fatal damage? This is the same argument for interplanetary population – yes, nothing has destroyed Earth yet. But you only need one event that sufficiently damages Earth to put it beyond a reasonable point of viability. And the more advanced your civilization, this highly interconnected state actually increases, not decreases, risk of transmission.
Thus my hypothesis for an answer to the Fermi Paradox.
In such threat which I envision, it would be less of an AI in and of itself and more of the emergent property of humanity, and in this case I’ll use an example of Kaczynski’s of the man using a chess AI. Using the chess AI, he empowers himself to prevail, using a tool to enhance himself. However, because it is the only rational choice to utilize it and he must do so to prevail again competitors also using chess AI, he actually becomes essentially forced to obey its orders: a slave to his overall still rather dumb tool.
In such, we are to consider the impact of a number of highly rational decisions for the individual, but which en masse, cause unexpected and potentially irresistable damage to larger society from Rumsfeld’s “unknown unknowns.” A tragedy of the commons, if you would, with negative externalities arising from individual decisions first for maximization and later in order to compensate – and without any real way to withdraw from society due to the interconnectedness of it.
At any rate, its been an interesting conversation!
Yes, I am the most important person in my world: “protagonist.”
https://youtu.be/o8DlAZF5PCY
Oh joy…it makes it all so worthwhile! 🙂
If I weren’t a Christian, I’d opt for Mr. Chieh’s opium bong. 🙂
You say that the Crimean referendum isn’t appropriate in the way that it occurred.
On the matter of inappropriate: there’s the way the democratically elected Yanukovych was overthrown, in conjunction with the internationally brokered power sharing agreement that he signed and was broken by the opposition. This happened BEFORE Crimea’s reunification with Russia, with the Kosovo and northern Cyprus examples in mind.
You don’t deny that there’s a clear pro-Russian majority in Crimea. I don’t deny that Yanukovuch had flaws and that his support had noticeably dwindled after the coup against him. At the same time, the current crop of Ukrainian presidential hopefuls (including the current person in that role) aren’t popular.
It’s no small wonder why Crimea at large remains quite content on being reunified with Russia.
The favourite Zhirinovsky proposal to annex Belarus sounds nice, only in dreams and fantasy.
How would it be achieved? What are the logistics and practicalities – dropping polite people onto Minsk? It’s just a fantasy (unless or until there is some desire or support emerging from the internal politics within the territory itself).
Don’t Belorussians consider themselves Russians?
I’m neutral on the Ukraine conflict, but I at least understand it. I don’t understand why Belarus and Russia are separate countries.
Abiogenesis is hard. The universe is young. I would hate spoiling Karlin’s sincere take on anything but there’s that regardless; of course correct anthropic reasoning has been around at the fringes for decades and humans don’t live on Krikkit.
The meta-issue of human status is almost more interesting for the Fermi paradox topic these days, just like everything else where for decades nothing happens to people for being wrong, or for being right. Grumpy old academics 50 years ago would make terrible arguments based on nothing (“there probably aren’t that many planets” – this is what older literature sometimes is mocking after all) while the biochemists would shout at deaf ears. All the nonsense theories being proven wrong didn’t do any good for the reasonable people (some of whom are dead of old age I’m sure anyway) and because to some extent that wasn’t the point of the popular discussion of the topic new nonsense keeps sprouting up in place of the old.
My latest and more timely example, a bit of a pet peeve maybe, is everybody who said “computers”/ML/AI would easily beat humans at Starcraft but definitely not Go anytime soon, despite the extremely solid game theoretic reasons discussed for a couple decades for that take being wrong…but there are no consequences for being wrong on topics like this. I personally give enormous credit to people who were right about this, the moreso the more they stick their necks out.
It’s interesting and understudied what sort of academic or science-adjacent topics and careers allow people to be constantly wrong and still sneer at the people who are right; I think there are patterns there rather than it being all chaotic or random. Of course the popularly debated but incorrect views that do receive pushback, like “vaccines cause autism” are obvious.
Incidentally I had wanted for a while, so an open thread’s a good time, to sorta congratulate AK for stating a while back the broadly correct views on risks of nuclear war; the Earth is big, it can’t exactly be destroyed, nor do fallout videogame mutants exist and all that. Especially with all the ricidulous criticism on basic misunderstandings that I think he received, and he deserves defending for thought experiments and hypotheticals far more than the blowhards who get it. It’s always been interesting to me how people (not just normies either, since 90 IQ normies don’t have opinions on anything) who are constantly wrong about one thing (say nuclear war) will be constantly wrong about others (AI, asteroids etc). In turn AK is astonishingly one of those people who has a lot of correct views on unrelated topics all his own (I’ll throw in a broadly correct materialistic – not religious culty- understanding of hypergamy as another present day example); it’s almost disturbing how much in agreement people who are like that are.
LOL…..a “Ukrainian” cretin telling other people about labotomies!
Apart from there being no such thing as these fictitious people called Ukrainians, pretty much everybody who”Ukrainians” claim are their cultural,historical, sports heroes …..are IDENTICAL to those who Russians claims as their own from centuries before,Tsarist time and Soviet time ……that’s because we are the same people you idiot.
Pretty much the only exception this trend of shared figuers as part of our identity…in other words, those claimed by “Ukrainians” that Russians don’t claim also …..are fucktard losers and nutjobs as Bandera,Shukhyevich and…….. Chikatilo………that is the whole sum of Ukrainian nationalism.
This isn’t even an exaggeration…what a pathetic mess
I don’t think Keverich is saying Russia would never do it (although with the current people in charge it probably wouldn’t happen); rather he is saying that raising oil prices would be an ineffective tool if the Kremlin wished to change the behaviour of a potential pro-American government in Byelorussia for the better.
Obviously it should be one nationality and one people.
But it’s simply not going to be a popular proposal there. When they’re on holiday overseas (in America?), they’ll call themselves Russian. But they’re internally talking all the time about the unique characteristics and special heritage of Belarus (just watch or read some of their internal media).
And obviously on the political level they’re not going to be happy with annexation – their current position is too ‘sweet’ playing all their neighbours for concessions, meanwhile repackaging Ukrainian milk, or exporting shrimp and seafoods (“made” in Belarus).
–
It’s funny though reading the youtube comments on rapper Max Korzh videos, the average rap fan in Europe (e.g. French fans) is totally unaware of the existence of his nationality. They all just call him Russian.
What do people here think about the elections in Slovenia? Good sign, irrelevant or too early to tell?
While open borders is part of the issue, if Intermarium proponents are serious about it, then they must counter and expel liberal “NGOs” and propaganda outlets – otherwise cultural diffusion will make Eastern Europe eventually end up as like Western Europe, which would destroy the purpose of Intermarium in the first place.
I meant French youtube comments posted under this video of his
Lol why are French watching him anyway (I guess a popular French youtuber linked to it unaware it is Belarus not Russia).
I understand how the Ukrainian national identity causes havoc to your self esteem. Here’s a neighboring people who’ve developed their own language and identity that don’t want to assume a Russian one – go figure Chikatilo? 🙂
Yours is an honest response to the ImmortalRationalist’s prescription to overcome the natural feeling of anxiety relating to the sober acceptance and prospect of facing a long meaningless existence, as is explored within the humorous piece at the ‘Onion’ https://www.theonion.com/doctors-find-new-way-to-prolong-meaningless-existence-1819564846
It’s a funny piece because its based on reality, not pie in the sky, unrealistic remedies that are offered by organizations like the Transhumanists. In fact, the piece is actually ridiculing the prospects of a long life that theTranhumanists are trying to offer.
More importantly, read the tract that explores the Eastern Orthodox theology of ‘Theosis’. If you’re of a protestant leaning, the same concept is often referred to as ‘Deification’. C.S. Lewis believed in it, why shouldn’t you? It’s the best 49 pages that you’ll ever read,and it will cure your anxiety without drugs or other harmful prescriptons. Just read it, think about it, and let me know what you think.
http://orthodoxinfo.com/general/theosis-english.pdf
So what do you say? Without all of the useless whataboutisms, do you feel that the referendum held in the Crimea was held in a proper and democratic fashion? Should anything have been done differently, or was it all above board as far as you’re concerned?
It is an interesting tract. While I don’t believe the Orthodox way is the only way to achieve human unification with the divine, I think that in discovering the right aim they have come further than others along the path.
I’m glad that you read it and got something important out of it. If you ever like to study the bible, you can use it as a kind of guide map. It’s full of direct quotations taken straight from the scriptures that expand and yet help pull it all together.
Source for this blatant libel immediately.
Here is from the LA Times, but numerous reported the same:
Well, Christianity is much more sane in comparison.
Sounds like tabloid BS to me.
Hungary has begun to do that. Open Society (the Soros foundation) is packing its bags. CEU – the flagship university of Soros – is moving to Berlin. There will be pressure from Brussels but ultimately their tools are limited. A far greater problem to overcome is the security & economic aspect. The former because in order to avoid becoming a servile puppet of outside powers – such as the United States or Russia – it would need an independent nuclear arsenal. The latter because as I’ve pointed out, large parts of ‘core Intermarium’ is now very deeply integrated into the German manufacturing supply chain. Polish-German trade alone reached 100 billion USD last year. Germany’s links to much of the CEE region, especially those in the EU, is now very substantial and it is not something that they will give up lightly given the untold billions of euros that they’ve sunk into these countries as investment as well as the sheer scale of the markets.
The NGO part is, in my humble opinion, while not a walk in the park, ultimately far less of a hindrance than the other factors. I still do agree with your general point. However, it is very difficult to have deep economic integration with a country, especially one which is richer than you, and have no substantial cultural influence emanating from it. That’s not what history has shown throughout the ages.
Audacious Epigone has a new post up on the latest American demographics:
https://anepigone.blogspot.com/2018/06/white-births-as-percentage-of-total.html
Some context: in 2012, the US census bureau announced that white births were now a minority. However, the CDC (which is considered an even more reliable authority on this topic) debunked that claim a few years later. Their data comes with a greater timelag.
Some in the Alt Right noted in the early days of the Trump presidency that white births declined very slowly from 2007 to 2015, barely two percentage points. This was still the heady era of high expectations. People were predicting mass deportations and a huge “Trump babyboom”. Neither of course happened.
The latest numbers show that the white newborn percentage share is now just 51.7%. The usual caveat applies: this number includes Arabs, Turks, Jews, Central Asians, Caucasians etc. The European-American share is almost certainly below 50% already.
I like focusing more on newborns since whites tend to have a disproportionate large share in the 65+ age brackets, giving an distorted impression. Newborns are demographics already “baked in”. I do not see how there can be a conventional/inside-the-system resolution to the US question. The only viable alternative, it seems to me, is some form of de factosecession though that would be resisted greatly by the TPTB, since it would gut the imperial project. I think it’s long past time to abandon illusions that “we can reform the GOP from within”. There are also lessons here to European nationalists, namely that parties like AfD, FN, SD or PiS will never fundamentally challenge the direction we are heading in, but merely slow it down somewhat.
That’s why it makes sense to be radical from the start and make a lot of the groundwork when you’re comparatively strong. If the AR had existed in the 1980s and had a clear vision and long-term framework, it is possible that there would be a much larger share of US whites who were mentally, intellectually and emotionally prepared for more radical options. That work now lies ahead for them. We have no time to waste ourselves.
You’re quite a cherry picker. What I said in full:
As a follow-up, the sayings of an eye for an eye and two wrongs don’t make a right, led me to say the following: two or more wrongs don’t make a right. Simultaneously, hypocrisy isn’t a virtue.
The end of the Cold War led some to suggest the possibility of a different and improved era. US government led action in Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) and elsewhere reveal that might still makes right.
Lvov is Galician. Galicia is not and was never Ukraine. Galicians aren’t Ukrainian.
Not sure what to think about that.
Belarus is Russia, White Russia.
😀
https://abload.de/img/dnniflxwkaaefj8buucb.jpg
Don’t you have kids?
As a doom and gloom Catholic, I subscribe to the idea that life is pain and suffering punctuated by glimpses and moments of foretastes of heaven (such as the loving embrace of one’s wife and the joyful smiles of one’s children).
But I also try to follow this ancient wisdom, attributed to Clearchus of Soli: “As children, learn good manners. As young men, learn to control the passions. In middle age, be just. In old age, give good advice. Then die, without regret.”
There is another possibility – the definition of whiteness widens a bit: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-demise-of-the-white-majority-is-a-myth/2018/05/18/60fc897c-5233-11e8-abd8-265bd07a9859_story.html
This idea is not new: https://www.nytimes.com/1998/08/16/magazine/the-beige-and-the-black.html
It’s always a double-edged sword, it seems, Mass communication would allow harmful memes to reach universal exposure, but it would also allow potential strategies for how to counteract harmful memes to reach potentially universal exposure, and would allow far more minds to strategize ways to deal with potentially existential risk-causing memes. When superintelligence is achieved, it could potentially find superintelligent ways to counteract existential risk-causing memes, but a badly aligned ASI could also superintelligently design destructive memes. If the entire galaxy were colonized, and posthumans reached a population in the quintillions, it would mean quintillions of chances for at least some individuals to survive the outbreak of an existentially threatening meme, but it would also mean quintillions of chances for such a dangerous meme to crop up. As for the rate at which the existential risk caused by memes increases, compared to the the rate at which the ability to counteract these existential risk-causing memes increases, we will have to wait until the Singularity to see what happens.
It’s much easier to destroy something than to protect it. The destructive thing could be a literal virus (something which destroys all humans), which is easy to create by one rogue AI, and difficult to notice by the other AIs.
Imagine that the whole world was just a village in a valley. Imagine it had a thousand inhabitants. Imagine that in that village even the smallest child could build a nuke. What are the chances of the village surviving, long term? It’s enough if just one toddler builds and detonates a nuke for the whole village to get destroyed.
In a sense, the whole planet is becoming like a village. Anything truly destructive (maybe nukes are not destructive enough; there are other things, too) will destroy it, long before we’re able to colonize other planets.
Regarding memes, mind viruses. All minds can be hacked. We don’t know how it could work. But the world is getting more and more centralized, so any attempt to counteract harmful memes will prove more and more difficult over time. Due to globalization the world is getting more uniform. In a sense, culture is converging to the same trash everywhere. This must make the spread of stupid ideas easier.
I think Hungary’s NGO policy is quite good and I wholeheartedly support Budapest’s actions.
However, whenever I read about it it leads me to wonder exactly what the international NGOs are up to in other Eastern European countries, if they are teaching and doing really pernicious things that we don’t hear.
I really wonder how that came about. The American census has several flaws, but this seems to be one of the strangest ones.
I think this kind of tampering is inevitable, but ultimately it will make us non-human, and I’m personally dreading it.
The most extreme transhumanist ideas (like uploading of minds to computers) will actually lead to the destruction of humanity, and I find it strange that transhumanists are unwilling or unable to understand the arguments.
1) Uploading will essentially make a software out of you.
2) Even if the software will be a perfect simulation of your mind, its life experience will be absolutely alien, non-human.
3) Even if its life experience could somehow also be simulated (like putting it inside an android, perhaps even a biological body), it will be very easy to tamper with it. For example you can make yourself smarter by a few changes in the software and/or hardware. The changes will make you a different person than you had been before.
4) Eventually some uploaded “people” (i.e. person simulations) will start changing themselves.
5) There are no limits to such changes, so expect rapid changes at the rate of IT development.
6) Eventually the changes will make these simulations totally, absolutely non-human in their outlook. A computer software with a million times the brain capacity of a human, whose basic motivations will be tampered with (a normal human sitting inside a computer simulation would simply stay inside virtual reality forever – I guess VR will get indistinguishable from reality for these computer simulations anyway), what’s human in these, umm, things? Basically these could over time turn themselves into super-AIs. The larger the changes, the larger the potential for further changes. Initially it’ll be a kinda sorta human making the decision to become a somewhat different human, then later a very odd human, etc., but eventually it will be a computer chimera making decisions to become ever more alien.
7) The more a simulation changes itself, the less it will be a continuation of the original human being. Basically you won’t get eternal life, because the thing alive a hundred years after your biological death won’t be “you” by any stretch of imagination.
8) The larger number of uploads, the more inevitable that at least some of them will start tampering with their own software. Eventually most of these will be viewed as normal, and the lemmings will follow.
Then of course they will be highly fragile. They will depend on a lot of electricity, for example. I’m sure they will be very vulnerable to be destroyed. Some of them might get the funny idea to reduce dangers, for example mandating that all remaining biological humans either upload or perish. After that, there will be no more humans left, only a few simulations which for whatever reason resist the temptation to change themselves (but these will probably stay in virtual reality, or will anyway be swept aside by the much smarter ones). Any conflict between them may lead to a Filter, because they will stay very fragile. The more they tamper with their software, the more fragile, because complicated software contain a lot of bugs, often undetected for years or decades.
I don’t understand how anyone can find such a future appealing.
I also don’t think it will be stable. So many things can go wrong for the whole thing to destroy itself.
The hope of humanity is that these things are impossible. I don’t think so.
Nothing strange about it. The American racial system has only four categories: a) Black (African), b) Red (Native American), c) Yellow (East Asian), d) White (everyone else).
This system has been in place in America since forever and persists to this day. The census only follows tradition.
So why are Central Asians not classified as Asians while Desis are? Or for that matter, why have the idiosyncratic ‘Hispanic’ category?
In Britain all East Asians and South East Asians come under the ‘Chinese’ category
Children are simply one’s appendages, just like one is one’s parents’ appendages.
Conversely, non-whites includes Cubans, lighter Mexicans, people of half-Asian descent who assimilate with white people, etc. So this probably balances out the others.
More important than that:
https://twitter.com/PolandDaily/status/1003996812607348738
Ukraine could provide this, in the mid-term not long-term, with funding. Has Poland bought the missile-capable submarines?
https://www.defensenews.com/smr/european-balance-of-power/2017/08/28/subs-cruise-missiles-to-drive-polands-navy-modernization/?
Moreover, even a nukeless conventional ability to strike deep into Russia (or hit Berlin, or Paris) would serve as a deterrent. Ukraine, on its own, is developing such capability, as some Russians have noticed:
Russians have noticed.
http://www.mk.ru/politics/2018/01/30/ukraine-obzavelas-sobstvennoy-krylatoy-raketoy-stoit-li-rossii-boyatsya.html
Speaking about the threat of the Russian naval grouping in the Black Sea, Barabanov suggested that the creation of Neptune in reality would be a slow issue, and most likely the path to the series would take about 10 years.
According to Ruslan Pukhov, a member of the Public Council under the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, in general, Ukrainian missile projects (Neptune and Grom-2) pose a very serious threat to the national security of the Russian Federation.
“There is a threat of deploying in a few years very serious and relatively high-precision weapon systems of the hostile state in close proximity to important and densely populated regions of Russia, including Moscow,” the expert said. “From the military point of view, this threat will require strengthening air defense and missile defense in Moscow and the entire Central region, but in any case, these systems will complicate the military and political situation, and for the leadership of Ukraine will become a powerful political and propaganda argument about alleged” intimidation of Moscow. ” On the good side, it would be desirable for Russia to prevent the deployment or creation of such systems in Ukraine at all. ”
This is both a disadvantage and an advantage. Economic integration prevents America and the West from treating China the way it treats Russia (America especially, because it doesn’t rely on Russia’s energy). Germans may threaten to cut off aid to Poland or their media may label the government that took the banks from them as anti-democratic, but they will find it hard to implement some sort of crushing policies that would necessarily completely screw up their own economy.
In America, and Twinkie is an example, many Asian groups (particularly Koreans, Vietnamese, and Filipinos) tend to marry whites at high rates and to assimilate with them.
See my comment here which addressed some of your points:
https://www.unz.com/akarlin/open-thread-44/#comment-2361889
One could really have some fun with this Tower of Babel theory and the potential risks of a highly unified noosphere, especially one eventually where we probably won’t be divided by either distance or language.
One thing to consider is that the single planet risk is constant because there isn’t a random number generator that creates ever more planet-destroying objects to throw at us because we have a higher population, but as we increase in population, we generate ever more memes with the specific intent of being viral, partly out of instinct because coming up with ideas to influence your peers is really part of being human, but also increasingly weaponized persuasion for mercenary or political purposes(advertising, Hollywood, etc.)
So historically if a crazy cult with contagious memes creates a colony of Cathars, it just is a bunch of Cathars who weird out their neighbors enough until they get smacked since transmission is slow, and they will have more time to “develop” and exhibit symptoms of dysfunction or weirdness to their observers. These days, any truly successful Cathar mind-virus, would hijack a huge percentage of the population into it, and potentially create successful special interest groups to further argue for their protection.
One could almost create a moral argument that interplanetary settlement, and physical distances, for survival of humanity in some form.
My wetware interface with the material world, unfortunately, probably can’t observe them if it was disrupted from continuing to exist in the material world.
How do white Americans generally treat their children?
However, it is also to be considered that Russia itself has a shortage of refinery capacity and need the refined products Belarus produces. Otherwise, Belarus just raises prices for its refined product sales to Russia. And suit prices too, all those polyester suits.
I’m going to strongly argue against unification as optimal strategy since if it was, the multicelluar body would not have been as dominant and we would see the assexual, “immortal” and “large ameoba” creatures as a significant part of biomass but this does not appear to be the case. Isolation and sacrifice of units of a species appears to be a superior strategy over efforts at homeostasis and management of a large joined entity.
Well, much of right bank Ukraine was under Polish rule for centuries, local languages relegated to peasantry, so it’s not that surprising.
Expenditure isn’t everything, just ask Saudi Arabia. All of Ukraine’s drafts failed. The people don’t want to fight for the Kiev junta, sorry.
What kind of radical options? What’s your vision for the future?
Incorrect. Desertion rates were high (IIRC 30%, in some specific districts 50% even) because there was no way of really enforcing compliance, but majority of those called did serve and the government mobilized 100,000s of people. Ukraine’s military has about 4x the combat-ready personnel now than it did in 2014 (not to mention that they are well-armed now, and were largely effectively unarmed then).
The Left Bank also used Polish as the main language for educated elites. The Kiev Mohyla Academy used Polish and Latin as languages of instruction, Polish was the administrative language of the Hetmanate, in which Kiev and Chernihiv house Polish printing houses. The Hetmanate’s military even used Polish as its language of commands. The situation was analogous to the use of French in England by the elite for centuries after the Norman conquest. As in that case, even after Polish was no longer the elite language, it left behind a huge imprint on the local vernacular.
The Ukraine has all sorts of ambitious military projects, but they never seem to work out. Look what happened to Ukrainian missile corvettes for example:
https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/4234290.html
It’s hard to have a competitive arms industry, when your military budget is only $5 billion (much of it is consumed by the ongoing war), and you’re one of the most corrupt countries in the world.
That being said I’m all for dismantling Ukrainian arms industry as the expert in the article suggests. This should have been done on day 1.
BY GOD’S GRACE, WE HAVE BEEN SAVED
https://i.redd.it/vjju612dzc211.png
The map above shows the temperature anomalies expected in the next seven days. The heatwave is not over, though divine powers have intervened to save those of us on the Eastern (and not Central!) side of the European landmass will be spared. Ukraine looks attractive.
The craziest part is Oslo going to be warmer than Lisbon for an entire week in June. Give me my predictable weather back!
Don’t be absurd: there is nothing that Belarus sells to Russia that we couldn’t buy from somewhere else. This scheme is simply a giveaway to Lukashenko regime. It needs to go.
For the record Russia’s main import from Belarus is actually cheese. lol Probably Lithuanian cheese that they repackage as “Belorussian”.
https://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/visualize/tree_map/hs92/import/rus/blr/show/2016/
On second thought, I’m not sure about this.
There is a tank competition in Germany now; it will be interesting to see the results this year:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strong_Europe_Tank_Challenge
Ukraine and Poland participated last year. Ukraine’s team used the same T-64BM that is the staple of its military. It came in 5th place out of 6 countries, beating Poland’s team and its Leopard 2 A5. Ukraine has about twice as many tanks in service as does Poland. Ukraine’s military also has nearly twice as many personnel overall. Ukraine also has more rockets and missiles, and artillery. Poland, OTOH, has about twice as many combat aircraft as does Ukraine and presumably its crews are better trained. In 2018 Ukraine’s military budget is about half that of Poland’s in dollar terms ($6.2 billion and $12.2 billion, respectively) but PPP would erase much of this difference.
So I am not sure if Poland’s military is currently better than Ukraine’s. Either way, I doubt it’s a huge difference.
Both countries lack an answer to long-distance missile strikes, meaning inevitable loss to an enemy capable of sustained long-distance strikes.
That’s interesting, thanks.
I personally think that the most plausible path to an intermarium is to integrate Ukraine in the EU framework to the greatest extent possible short of an outright membership (I would strongly be in favour, but given the decisive no that the dutch gave to even an associate membership, the political space for this in Western Europe is limited). From there, it would probably be most practical to create a parallel structure that works alongside NATO and any EU initiative, but is not dependent on either.
There are already such projects ongoing among CEE states(see ‘Three Seas Initiative’). I don’t see why it couldn’t be extended to other domains and deepened.
But an outright break with the current economic and security architecture is unlikely. It isn’t just about German economic interests. 90% of our trade goes to the EU and the Brits have now found out the hard way that the single market is not the same thing as a free trade deal. A single market is a much deeper commitment. Norway and Switzerland pay billions of euros each year for the privilege to have access to the single market.
EU membership annuls this payment and gives you the privilege for free. If Poland left the EU, it would need to find many billions each year to pay like Norway and Switzerland. Unlike them, we were under the yoke of communism for half a century and before that, got our country devastated by WWII in a way that few other countries did. Russia won the war and ended up with a much larger territory. Germany lost, but they got the Marshall plan and got to choose their own economic system. We got neither, which meant that we are still poor. We don’t have the money to suddenly leave. Though, as I have mentioned, this is quickly changing. And outside the EU we would have much more political space to crush monopolistic foreign resource rents in low-productivity sectors like retail where we frankly don’t need foreigners.
Still, the biggest problem is the blatant Western orientation of some of the V4 countries. Hungary and Czechia both have youth which are much more pro-Western than pro-Eastern. The Slovaks basically are split down the middle and we are the only ones which see a decisive break. Unless you can find a path in which the youth of these CEE countries turn to the East, the future generations will likely integrate even more into the EU.
The substantial wage gap means that non-white immigration into CEE, even from other EU countries, will likely be minimal at best. People think in nominal, not in PPP-adjusted, terms. Poland’s 3x lower wages with Germany will not be closed for decades and the situation is even worse in Romania, Bulgaria etc. Croatia is not growing as fast as we are, and they are losing far more people to emigration in per capita terms. Slovenia is rich, and isn’t losing people by emigration, but their Western orientation is very deep now.
I also think you underestimate the fact that many CEE countries are quite lukewarm on Russia. Only we and the Baltics are the real standouts and possibly Czechia. Hungary, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia etc all are not. And given their geographic distance, they could well ask themselves why there is such a need for military integration. They would more likely pursue a path of neutrality and frankly that would be the rational choice in their position. I would have done the same if I was sitting in Budapest, Ljubljana or Zagreb.
I may sound more skeptical on intermarium than I actually am. If we all actually put our minds to it, we could do it. I don’t think the root problems are fundamentally practical – though the problems are not small by any stretch of the imagination. The main problem, as I see it, would be the mental/cultural willingness to re-orient oneself to the East while bearing significant short- to medium-term economic, political and security losses. Would people bear these losses and the the significant re-adjustment period required because Germany has 6-8% muslims? Even if that rises to 10 or even 15%, I don’t see how that would happen in the present scenario, or 10-15 years from. After 2030, all bets are off. Right now the idea is limited to the political visionaries while the practical-minded people, which is to say most people, don’t see a need for it. That may change, but I am skeptical it would any time soon. I’d love to be wrong, however.
Europe will be fine, at least there is no sinfully-high humidity there.
Nonsense. Development of Vilkha guided rocket was successful and mass production is starting:
http://defence-blog.com/missiles/new-ukrainian-high-precision-rockets-system-completes-final-test.html
More details:
http://themess.net/forum/military-discussion/8573-ukraine-discussion-thread/page1185
Entire production chain is within Ukraine.
Not sure how reliable Cassad is. At any rate, ship-building might not be as good as missile development for Ukraine.
Wrong again, it was $5.2 billion in 2017 and $6.3 billion in 2018. In PPP terms it is effectively much higher.
Yes, you want war. And you’ll be happy with a little genocide, too.
I agree with most of this. A point:
Correct. The way to address is to point out that Intermarium means freedom from all external would-be puppet-masters. You help us against Russia in case it wants to force its values or economic-political orientation upon us, we help you against Germany if it wants to do the same. Of course, if the people are fine with following Germany’s lead and becoming a well-paid semi-Islamic German appendage, this approach will not work.
Probably Russia could learn a thing or two from Israel.
Desis are classified as white in the USA. (Nobody claims that Microsoft is run by a ‘person of color’, because Indians in the USA aren’t.)
‘Hispanic’ is just a politically correct name for Native Americans and mestizos, i.e., the Red race.
Lol, you have to walk carefully. Say “Беларусь”, not “Белоруссия” – definitely not “Белая Россия”.
Although in terms of this issue I don’t think (???) they instantly stamp on your head and beat you mercilessly yet in the center of Minsk, (e.g. not like certain other demographic responding to innocent seeming word combinations like “на Украине”).
And, as usual, Jews were the agents of the authorities, so they’re remembered as victims of the Cossacks’ revenge, even though Poles were targeted as well. From my understanding the Polish Second Republic’s Polonization efforts were even more intense than the Commonwealth’s (though limited to Galicia), easy to understand the climate that led to the Ukrainian militias slaughtering thousands of Poles during WW2.
Philip Owen do know anything interesting about the Saratov Airlines story?
You live in Saratov?
On another note, photos of the new airport of Simferopol – it looks pretty impressinghipsters.
https://varlamov.ru/2955394.html
–
Oops I was trying to write:
“it looks pretty impressive – even impressing hipsters.”
Russia apparently has passed a law against anonymizers(VPN, Tor, etc i think). Russian tech policy is a tragicomedy.
https://www.unz.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/banning-telegram-fail.gif.gif
With apologies to Mr. Karlin.
My understanding is that Indians are classified as people of color in the US from my experience in Silicon Valley, even light-skinned ones.
It is not yet for individuals, but for websites or search engines.
Any website that provides a link to a VPN website, will now be fined 700000 rubles .
It is funny, but notice they are still too scared (or sensible) to make the jump into criminalizing individuals who use VPN services for this moment. They’re starting to battle incrementally against the VPNs, but in an indirect or moderate way.
OT: Mr. Karlin, I thought you might appreciate this image for Chongqing. Not quite Hengsha, but has buildings that have 5-10 stories deep underground, and multiple entrances on skyscrapers from different levels, sometimes connected with transit.
Getting toward the layered city, I like to imagine.
https://www.capitaland.com/content/dam/capitaland-media-library/Raffles%20City%20Developments/China/Chongqing/Raffles%20City%20Chongqing/Raffles%20City%20Chongqing_3.jpg.transform/cap-highres/image.jpg
Cassad is far more reliable, than Western media, which rely on propaganda from the Ukrainian regime. My instinct is to remain sceptical, because I understand how the Ukraine operates. Its representatives make all kind of loud proclamations such as “The Ukraine no longer uses Russian gas”, “A bridge to Crimea cannot be built”, or “We have a shiny new Wunderwaffe and will now use it to kick Russia’s ass”. Once you start fact-checking, it turns out that this is just PR, and none of it is true. One PR campaign in the Ukraine morphs into another without any real progress being made.
Even if the Ukraine does manage to develop its own cruise missile technology someday, it will not be a game changer, since the country lacks the resources to mass produce them. Cruise missiles are quite expensive, you know, a single Tomahawk costs almost 2 million. This doesn’t include the cost of R&D, establishing production lines, maintaining launch platforms etc. Only a small group of militaries can afford to operate cruise missiles, and only US has the resources to manufacture them in sufficient quantities to threaten Russia.
BY GOD’S GRACE, WE HAVE BEEN SAVED
I’ve noticed before that you Eastern/Central European types are a bit wimpy when it comes to temperatures. Where I grew up (just outside of Washington DC) June-August highs were almost always above 30 degrees, 35 was common, 40 not unheard of. And we played sports for hours (baseball, tennis, etc.) without even thinking of how hot it was.
Okay, but it was in Fahrenheits. I also wouldn’t call 40 Fahrenheit “hot”.
They’re all classified as “Asian,” as ridiculous as that seems
According to the guy with the proven track record of getting almost everything wrong about Ukraine.
Remember, you claimed Azov were western Ukrainians, you claimed Ukraine is in economic freefall, you claimed Ukrainians in America were poor or mediocre, etc. etc.
So either you do not know how Ukraine operates, or you do and are not being honest, for whatever reason. I suspect it is the former and is driven by your emotions (your intellect is fine).
Do you think one built by Ukraine would cost nearly as much? Ukraine is cheaper than Russia, you know.
Vilkha guided rocket has already been produced and mass production is beginning. It is like an upgraded Smerch with longer range and better accuracy. Neptune cruise missile, Ukraine’s first missile, is a year or so away.
Here is a list of the numerous countries that produce missiles:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_missiles_by_country
Ukraine will be on the list soon.
As for threatening Russia existentially – yes, only the USA is capable of that with its missiles. Ukraine need only take North Korea’s path – make a strike against Ukraine sufficiently painful for the aggressor, to make aggression unlikely. Ukraine is not there yet but it is not far off.
But with cold temperatures it is the opposite story.
Er… weapons systems generally end up costing about the same no matter where they are produced. Ukrainian cruise missiles are likely only to be substantially cheaper than Tomahawks insofar as they are also of substantially lower quality.
Exactly. I don’t know where Felix is getting the idea that cruise missiles are hard to produce. Even a shitty country like Iran makes fairly advanced cruise missiles.
Where did you get that from? See:
https://www.npr.org/2018/01/26/580865378/census-request-suggests-no-race-ethnicity-data-changes-in-2020-experts-say
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/08/the-rise-of-the-others/497690/
In the US at one time, many considered Orthodox Christians as Protestant, on account of the ignorant belief that non-Catholic Christians had to be by default Protestant.
Some have said that all non-Ashkenazi Jews are Sephardic, which is erroneous as well.
To be fair to Ukraine, such have indeed been developed:
You are delusional: North Korea has nukes, a million-strong army, and has the South Korean capital in its artillery range. This is where its deterrent comes from. The Ukraine’s pathetic conventional missile will be intercepted by Pantsyr or S400 long before it reaches the Moscow region.
It should already be on that list. After all the Ukraine inherited production facilities from USSR.
The list of countries operating long-range cruise missiles is considerably shorter:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cruise_missile#Long-range_subsonic
You don’t see many small, third world countries on that list – money is clearly an issue here. I continue to believe that the development of this technology is simply not something the Ukraine can afford in its current state, or ever.
Sure, and don’t forget this bad boy!
http://ic.pics.livejournal.com/globolife/59791984/305442/305442_original.jpg
The hostility among central-east European nations is stronger than hostility towards outsiders like Germans, Russians, or even Turks. That makes any future integration like Intermarium unrealistic. Right under the surface are endless historical grievances and rivalries, plus there is no unifying language or religion. Being ‘white’ is not enough.
The gradual Third-world transformation of Western Europe will will soon start spilling into our areas. You are right about the low incomes, but migrants generally don’t move to a generic ‘Poland’. They move to the richest cities like Krakow, Poznan, Prague,… The incomes in those places are similar to many regions in Western Europe full of migrants, and the cost of living is lower. They will come.
We cannot be in a borderless union with the West and not be impacted, these are connected vessels. We have been too accommodating – including the 2015 Merkel march. A good example of what we have done to ourselves is the teary visit to Moscow by the Bulgarian president and prime minister (last week) begging for re-start of the South Stream pipeline. Bulgars now claim that they were ‘just good soldiers’ for EU-Nato, that they know they made a mistake, they are asking for forgiveness. I doubt they will get far. We allowed our interests in 2010-18 period to be pushed aside and many humored themselves with the highly visible, but completely irrelevant, Visegrad talk. But we did nothing, we went along. I don’t think it will be that easy to get out of that hole. As so often in the past Central-East has allowed itself to be an object of other people’s games and as always before we will again pay a steep price. There will be no Intermarium.
Hopefully, CPC advised them well.
https://twitter.com/AlexGabuev/status/1004285702094221313
They should be able to get an extension of Turkish Stream to Bulgaria.
https://sputniknews.com/business/201806021065031115-russia-bulgaria-turkish-stream-pipeline/
LOL you dumb prick…..it’s so “un-Muslim” Ukraine that:
It’s richest citizen…….a muslim…Rinat Akhmetov
It’s latest failed “revolution” initiated by……a muslim…Mustafa Nayyem
So un-muslim that it has more Chechen army commanders per capita then anywhere else in the world ( possible including even Chechnya), more Chechen snipers per capita than in Chechnya itself because that’s the type of cowardly scumbags the Kiev regime are.
They’ve either directly recruited them, or done it via the Chechen terrorists, perennial best friend (Georgia , from Shevardnadze’s time onwards, where many of these Chechen terrorists got their initial experience not from fighting in the war in Chechnya, but in Abkhazia)
Poroshenko’s greatest ” achievement” (seeing as there’s fuckall to celebrate with the military, economy and general state of the country) …….is like a parasite promoting Ukropia’s Caliphate potential and taking it from behind so as to get visa-free travel for their Galician prostitutes into Qatar and Saudi Arabia ( visa-free travel something Russians have had with them for years before)…that’s literally the only thing he’s done. He only got that by exploiting the fact Russia is on opposing sides of Qatar and KSA in Syria you cretin
And let’s not even begin with the Jewish membership in the failed, artificial country of Ukraine….or the Polish,Lithuanian, Gruzian,Canadian…and of course American control of the country. Everybody except “Ukrainians” you moronic prick.
Capability to hit Moscow or even to hit cities such as Kursk, Volgograd, or Rostov in retaliation for a strike on Kiev or an invasion would probably be a sufficient deterrent.
Russia’s own experts state Ukraine is a few years away from producing missiles that would be present a real danger to Moscow and would be hard to defend against there.
Also R & D. Indeed it should be. Previous governments, indifferent to Ukraine, neglected Ukraine’s military. This is the first one that has not, and problems are being rectified. Progress has been swift. Ukraine now has Vilkha guided rockets. Neptune is coming on line next year. These are short-range cruise missiles. Hrim has successfully undergone initial testing and is on track to be built a year after that. These are analogous to Russia’s Iskandar-M and will have up to 500 km range:
http://defence-blog.com/news/ukraine-unveils-new-tactical-missile-system.html
Several large Russian cities would be in range of these.
Obviously Ukraine is not and never will be in a position to successfully attack Russia. Again, the goal is to make an attack upon Ukraine sufficiently painful to minimize the chances of such an attack, insuring peace between both countries.
United States, Russia, United Kingdom, Israel, South Korea, Turkey, Iran, China, Pakistan and India.
No reason Ukraine cannot make such a list. In the near future it will have mid-range missiles capable of hitting Voronezh, Kursk, or Sevastopol.
Nice work by a farmer-hobbyist.
Westerners also build such things sometimes:
Let me guess: Russian propagandists claim these things represent the military-industrial complexes of their enemies?
In most main Russian cities, the temperatures have reached 35℃ in the hottest years. Moscow went up to 38 ℃ some years ago.
In Southern Russian points, the temperature have reached 45℃ in some summers.
People are not panicking or acting as wimps at 35℃ (especially considering the lack of air-conditioning).
The thing which is unpleasant are the terrible smogs (sometimes from forest and peat fires in the summer).
For wimpier people. For example, in the daytime in Madrid in August – most of the local Spanish people seem to be hiding indoors under airconditioning.
To summarise: Bulgaria walked away in 2014 from being a gas transit hub with a pipeline financed by Russia. Today they will get a branch of a Turkish pipeline that they will pay for themselves. Overall a few billion dollars loss to Bulgaria and an ongoing loss of the transit fees. Good job, and all it took was a visit by John McCain. I suppose brown-nosing to McCain was priceless.
Well a little comedically, they placed it on display (now with slat armor) at the main defense exhibition in Kiev.
(I would hope and expect that nobody – of any nationality – is ever unfortunate enough to risk their lives in such a mobile coffin).
https://bmpd.livejournal.com/2890180.html
I’m a practical man, fundamentally, or at least I’d like to think so. The options I have in mind are nothing too fancy, certainly nothing that we haven’t seen before.
When I use the term ‘radical’, it is very much contextual. To say that you have a ethnic definition of what it means to be German, and that you base Germany as a country on that conception, is per definition radical in an age where Merkel claims “everyone who lives here is a German”.
So that would be my first step, to do a complete break with tabula rasa and civic nationalism. I don’t think that proposal would raise many eyebrows in this place, but taking it mainstream would face great resistance.
That said, I do take AP’s point about European nationalism taken too far seriously. There was a lot of intra-European bloodshed in the 20th century which was unnecessary. Part of the reason why I am not a nationalist socialist is that Hitler had tons of European lives on his hands. Furthermore, as I stated, while I am aware of the JQ doesn’t imply I approve of mass murder. I don’t think any sane person would.
Therefore, any ethnic conception would need to be married with a greater white solidarity. I know, easier said than done. But you asked me about visions, so that is part of it.
The practical part of me says that the time for a clean and smooth transition is basically over. In many Western European countries, and possibly some Eastern if we’re talking about 20-30 years from now, there would likely need to be some kind of secession required because I am talking about de facto forcible deportation and repatriation on a mass scale, that is based on jus sanguis. Such a radical break would require, I think, an entirely new state architecture. The current one cannot be molded or reformed, and that is where I break away from the more ‘gradualist’ nationalists.
You would get rid of huge built-up internal resistance in the bureaucracy. That’s another lesson from the Trump presidency, the judiciary has a single job: to prevent even the inkling of a nationalist orientation in immigration and domestic policy. All Trump has been able to do is to cut taxes for the wealthy. The early stuff, when Bannon was influential, was all blocked. The same will happen in Germany (and yes, Poland) if we gain power by some miracle. I don’t see how that can be done within the confines of the current system. Secession(s) would probably be required, at least as an initial step. Re-unification could possibly happen later. Our first objective is loyalty to our people, not our particular state. The two are not the same.
AfD, FN, PiS, SD etc are all insufficient to take us there. Fundamentally, I think another key lesson of the Trump presidency, and the Alt Right, is to avoid becoming cheerleaders for a political party the way many AR people did (Ricky Vaughn and others come to mind). We are interested in white homelands and whatever political party that will take us there, we’ll support. If not, then goodbye. But no more “something for nothing”. No more delusions of “they are really our guys” when there is no evidence, no public statements showing that they understand the world the way we do.
I take inspiration from the Indian independence movement. At its height, they were no more than 1-2% of the population actively engaged, but they were highly organised and effective and they kept at it for decades. Things may seem bleak now, but if Germany was created after centuries of intra-German conflict, then I don’t see how it would be hard to reunite the German people when faced with large masses of non-German outsiders, if there was enough will to do it. But there can be no compromises in the goal and ultimate objective. Ever.
I recently watched an amazing BBC documentary series from 1979-1981 about British Dark Age kings: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLGhvHYKuOMlWJxKctO3Em7rpV5TWVdJ_o
The episode about Alfred the Great and its descriptions of the Vikings is especially terrifying.
Highly recommended.
https://i.ytimg.com/vi/EuoUdtmt8jM/maxresdefault.jpg
Thanks for the answer. A few thoughts:
That’s more of an ethical question than one of sanity imo. Ethnic cleansing, genocide etc. can be rational responses to real problems. Which doesn’t mean one should do it, but the temptation certainly exists.
You’re right about the courts, but imo that’s not even the biggest problem. If AfD or some other even slightly nationalist movement ever gets even a little bit of influence at the government level (maybe as part of a coalition in a state in the former East Germany like Saxony or Thuringia), I’m absolutely convinced that there will be major left-wing terrorism. There’s a large, well-organized segment of militant left-wingers, coddled and supported by the mainstream left, who regard violence (and not just against things, against persons as well) as legitimate. If there’s ever a prospect of “Nazis” coming into power, they will undoubtedly escalate to political murder, and they will have plenty of sympathizers in the media, establishment parties, the churches etc. Some level of violent civil strife would be inevitable in such a scenario.
At least that’s how it is in Germany (and I’d suspect a country like Sweden as well), Poland is probably different in this regard.
I’m not sure the Trump phenomenon can teach us that much about European nationalist movements…there never really was a coherent Trump movement, and it’s not even about uncritical support for a party, more like a really strange personality cult (for a guy who happens to be a con man imo). There are also many fundamental differences between the US and Europe which shouldn’t just be elided imo, like the long-standing racial diversity of the US and the fact that American nationalism has very strong components of external aggression and a global sense of mission (it’s more like European nationalisms of the late 19th century-1945 in that regard imo, not like the more defensive European nationalisms of today – imo American nationalism, in its actually existing form, therefore isn’t a good thing for the rest of the world).
That’s an overly optimistic comparison imo, the number of British in India was always quite limited, and the really horrendous violence during partition was between India’s native communities. Something like Algeria or other societies with many European settlers might be more apt as an analogy (and that doesn’t take into account the fact that birth rates favoured the natives there which isn’t the case in Western Europe today).
India isn’t a model for anything. They gained independence with massive American support, who bankrupted the British and left them morally exhausted after WWII. If they fought and gained independence the conventional way, there would anywhere from 10-50 feuding statelets there and the global plague of Indian call centres and grooming gangs could have been entirely avoided.
https://i.imgur.com/IkCXusR.jpg
http://topwar.ru/uploads/posts/2014-07/1406746035_1.jpg
http://panevin.ru/uploads/blog/ukrainian-gun-trucks/kamaz15_1_1024.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/UUPoJbD.png
http://voicesevas.ru/img/36b4ed1955c35ab96a90ad43c77e48fc.jpg
https://cdn.fishki.net/upload/post/201510/08/1689986/2_traktorthumb.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/i4LPOfG.jpg?1
Photo from 2015, allegedly depicting a looter.
Here’s a collection of improvised vehicles volunteers were making several years ago, before the Ukrainian military was supplied with normal weapons:
https://barsukk.livejournal.com/160431.html
They are silly-looking but show that many regular people were really motivated. It also reflects the legacy of Yanukovich’s rule.
Similar situation in Syria:
https://whitefleet.net/2016/05/24/in-the-syrian-civil-war-improvised-weaponry-proliferates/
http://www.digilyfe.co/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Tank.jpg
Kurdish one:
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2014/09/29/1411986098690_wps_34_Mad_max_Kurdish_fighting_.jpg
Russian nationalists really desperate that Ukraine was still in 2014-2015, lol.
I suggest reading Burke. Something about society and a contract among certain parties.
No. South Asians are classified as Asians (but Afghan Pashtuns as whites). It’s all kinds of messed up.
Sorry, after I translated sci-fi geek to English, I realized that what you mean to say is that you only care about what happens to your children until your death.
Do you plan to leave them nothing as inheritance, then?
Too indulgently, in my view. See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3gD1woa_Cbw
I think ideally one should strive to inculcate an obedient mindset in one’s children so they wouldn’t need to get beaten.
If they need to be beaten then I think that tends to imply that the wrong kind of mentality has already set in in the children.
Of course it is proper for the people in higher positions to take care of those below, but I think the justification for owing allegiance to one’s superiors lies in society being like a chain labouring towards a common higher aspiration whereupon obeisance is needed to ensure that the aim can be achieved.
I don’t disagree, but that’s not why I quasi-quoted Burke in regards to children. They are not mere appendages. They are – literally – the future.
It’s a comedy routine – I wouldn’t take it as actual parenting advice. It does capture some flavor of t the malaise of Western parenting today.
My children tend to be obedient, but the intensity of that obedience varies from child to child nonetheless, and they harbor somewhat differing motives. One is quite rule-driven. Another is eager to please. Yet another has a strong sense of right and wrong (i.e. what God wants). And so forth.
There are some general lessons in parenting, but the application of those lessons will differ based on time, place, and the children in question.
That’s interesting, because I don’t view that as a major problem at all. They would just pave the way for even more radicalism with that behaviour. If you look at the interwar period, communists have repeatedly been BTFO’d by right-wing groups. So much so, that I am often annoyed at the over-militarisation of many nationalist groups. The main struggle today is the kulturkampf and will remain so.
I disagree. Human behaviour is quite similar when it comes to power struggles. I am not an essentialist in this regard. The same types of arguments used over there are already used over here. I view the USA as an accelerated version of Western Europe and it is pointless, I think, to pretend we are special snowflakes who are so ‘fundamentally different’ that we can’t learn from them. Of course we can, and we should. Though there will always be local conditions that are different for us. The two are not necessarily at odds, as long as you can make the distinction without throwing the baby out of the bathwater.
The racial diversity is already upon us. Have you visited Paris or London lately? Politico – the EU version – ran a frontpage called ‘#BrusselsSoWhite’ a few months ago. Like it or not, racial politics is being imported with lightspeed into Europe. We can either adapt to that or pretend it isn’t there. I know which option I prefer.
and the fact that American nationalism has very strong components of external aggression and a global sense of mission
That is not tied to identity per se, just a function of power. America was very isolationist in the time leading up to both WWI and WWII. So the “muh empire” has always been an elite fixation, not necessarily a pre-occupation of the average American. Do you think the average burger gives a shit about North Korea, Iran or “supporting democracy in the Middle East”? Nobody cares. Don’t confuse elite interests with the broader swath of the American public.
People should read Jefferson’s ‘Notes of a Virginia Plantation’. The guy wrote stuff that is unambiguously white nationalist. The US Congress passed an amendment in the early 1790s that all new citizens must be “white men of good character”. It wasn’t overturned until almost 150 years later. The left is not wrong when they say that whiteness was fundamental to the US identity from the start. Even the statue of liberty wasn’t about immigration, it was just a gift from the French to celebrate their independence. The notorious (((Emma Lazarus))) poem about “give me you wretched, your poor” was planted there much later.
Generally speaking, people have been retconned quite successfully on US history, even nationalists, I find.
True, but “India” back then was hugely divided between muslims and Hindus, on top of all other assorted minorities. It wasn’t at all clear that Hindus would walk away with as much as they did. If you look back at the independence struggle, muslims were actually more favoured by the British. The imperial language was Urdu – not Hindi (though both are quite similar).
Hindus begun to agitate and organise, and moved the language towards English first and then to Hindi at a sub-national level. Persian, which used to be a prestige language of the court, was also successfully faded away.
Part of the reason why Jinnah and other Pakistani leaders were so alarmed is that they had been complacent, and they suddenly understood that Hindus had begun to rapidly eclipse them and preparing for a British exit already. This, in my view, is the proper way to view the indendence of India. Not as a British vs Everyone Else but Hindus vs Muslims, and viewed that way, their demographics were certainly far worse than ours is today. The solution – secession, or rather, partition – could be applicable to us too. Except that I’d be far more radical and push for forcible repatriation, but that can only happen when we have the upper hand. And for this, we do need intra-European solidarity and co-operation. Which is why aside from being a Polish nationalist, I’m also a white nationalist. I don’t see them as conflicting, rather as layers built on top of each other.
Many Europeans I come across often try to downplay the racial angle, as you just did, but in my view this is misguided and the de facto reality we already live in demands a new approach.
I’m not at all convinced of that. There were in fact many such gloom ‘n’ doom predictions in the immediate aftermath of India’s establishment.
And to be sure, Nehru and the other ruling elites faced a great amount of delicate balancing acts. Many local rulers had become enormously rich during the British era and were loath to give up their privileges.
On top of that, India has bewildering diversity (ethnic, cultural, linguistic etc). Yet, it managed to stay together despite being desperately poor (India in 1960 was poorer than most Sub-Saharan countries at the time).
I think people underestimate India and its elites and that is precisely why I am interested in their experience. On paper, their task was next to impossible but they have not imploded at all. Furthermore, Nehru was a secular socialist. He didn’t organise primarily on the basis of religion the way Modi is. He was an atheist himself. That makes the achievement even more impressive.
I wouldn’t write off India so quickly without further contemplation and proper understanding of their historical context.
For diversity lottery purposes, yeah. I’m talking about the traditional American classification, where ‘white’ just meant ‘everyone else’. Like many traditional American things, the quadripartite racial system made sense in 1820 (when there weren’t a million Pakistanis in America), but not so much today.
Agree on the leftist violence. It even might be useful to vilify the left.
Racial diversity in the US is of different nature than in Europe. The largest group in the US are former slaves. In Europe Blacks are voluntary immigrants. Blacks in American are untouchable. Europe is in much better position than the US in this respect. Any exclusion of Blacks in the US will fail or lead to morally more reprehensible events than Hitler’s purge of Jews.
Agree on India. Obviously it was Hindu vs. Muslim but it is possible that British instigated it. Otoh the British presence was unifying and rallying point and was helping to raise Indian national identity. The differences among various ethnic groups were smaller than the difference between them and the Brits. Similar thing happened to Irish from different counties in Ireland who in the US recognized that they were all Irish when confronted with the WASPs.
Interesting point.
Has anyone read bronze age pervert’s new book “Bronze Age Mindset”?
https://www.amazon.com/Bronze-Age-Mindset-Pervert-ebook/dp/B07DJQ89TD/
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1983090441/
Judging from the reviews, BAP’s devotees seem to enjoy it.
But with cold temperatures it is the opposite story.
Not really, Washington winter lows are lower than Prague, virtually the same as Budapest and not much higher than Warsaw.
Average winter lows December – January – February (degrees C)
Washington DC -1 /-4 / -3
Warsaw -3 / -5 / -4
Budapest -2 / -4 / -3
Prague 0 / -2 / -1
Okay, but it was in Fahrenheits. I also wouldn’t call 40 Fahrenheit “hot”.
Once I was in Novosibirsk the temperature reached the magic point where Celsius = Fahrenheit.
Changing to Fahrenheits might save Central Europe now. 30 degrees Celsius is quite warm, but for example 30 degrees Fahrenheit might be good, even a bit cold.
So why don’t we just switch the temperatures to Fahrenheit?
Children are less cognizant of temperatures when busy. I think it has something to do with the lack of awareness of their own bodies including your own thought processes. You live more outside of yourself and follow desires and react and you mostly anticipate the future w/o reflection on the past. Less burden and more single mindedness that make things more intense in both positive or negative ways.
DC with its humidity can be awful. But fall and winter can be nice.
DC with its humidity can be awful.
I went there with my wife a few years ago in blazing summer, and humid as hell. She nearly died but I had no problem at all. I think it has to do a lot with what you grew up with — large temperature differences, and extremely humid summers, were completely “normal” for me so I find that my “zone of comfort” tends to be significantly larger than those brought up in other climes where the seasonal variation is less.
But you’re right that most people find the hot humid summers in Washington to be brutal. When I was growing up my mother told me that the Brits in Washington during WWII (she worked with a number) received tropical hardship pay. I thought she must be making it up, but some years ago when I looked into it I found out she was right.
I meant that Southerners often complain about and can’t handle very cold temperatures. I could never handle a place like Houston or weather as they have, but have enjoyed Moscow, the Urals, or Montreal in winter.
Correct, people often forget that parenting style involves an interaction between two people and is dependent on the child’s particular character and aptitudes to a large extent.
I am a die-hard supporter of Fahrenheit, when it comes to the weather. It sounds better, and also gives a degree of precision without decimals which aids in small talk.
That seems to be a jump.
Its just a fairly mundane point that if I don’t exist, I can’t interact to assist them. And well, logically, after I die, its probable that I won’t be able to care about anything even if I want to. Assuming that there’s some form of spiritual existence after I die, I won’t be able to do anything at that point as evidence is that afterlife existence, if present, is unable to interact with the world. Any prior efforts then would be a sunk cost and worrying after my death would be pointless and irrational.
It is interesting that such references are considered as “sci-fi geek.” Mr. Karlin, I have a feeling that the Martian cant is going to be very Silicon Valley inspired after all!
That’s true, and I deeply resent that Americanisation of discourse about race and immigration in Europe. I’m not sure though that this means European nationalists should just ape the American right (which tbh is a pathetic story of failure so far, what kind of “success” is it to elect someone like Trump?). When someone like Steve Bannon turns up in Europe and tries to influence the European right, I wonder what exactly his motives are. Europeans should be wary of becoming coopted into the dubious projects of American right-wingers imo.
There are still important differences though, especially regarding American blacks who are still mostly the descendants of pre-1865 slaves, have very deep roots in the US (deeper than many white Americans) and have nowhere else to go. Whether one likes it or not, they’ve been part of the US from the beginning and will remain so. The situation in Europe is rather different, racial diversity here (apart from gypsies) is very recent and a total discontinuity with 1000 years of completely white nations. Admittedly the contrast isn’t complete, Mexicans and other post-1965 immigrants in the US are somewhat comparable. But still, our historical experience in Europe is different, and we should emphasize that fact, to reject concepts like “white privilege” etc. as foreign imports that have no organic connection to our societies. Cultural anti-Americanism could be useful in this regard.
The interventionists won in both cases though and have been completely in ascendancy since WW2. American nationalism as it is today has permanent global US hegemony as a core objective, and that also means the US has to be some sort of “universal” society, with all the world represented in it (and while it’s true that the US was a white-dominated polity for most of its existence, such ideas have deep roots, those nutcase transcendentalists dreamed of something like this already back in the 1840s and 1850s). Unless that changes and the US becomes a “normal” country, I’ll continue to be skeptical.
I read a bit more about this:
https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/jun/04/is-chongqing-china-horizontal-skyscraper-the-answer-to-overcrowded-cities-raffles
Beyond the obvious amusement at the Elysium-like concern trolling at cyberpunkization:
I think the idea could be pretty sound: after all skyscrapers are a fixture of cities anyway, and are usually built to overengineered stability. Using them as support pillars is in fact, not that stretch of an idea and I think can ultimately allow for the horizontal sections to be linked in a lattice. Since this is by definition a fixed and unchanging problem, drone swarms can be employed to clean windows and so on, and through-air automation/passing can be done with the Ehang-variants of drones, which actually would be a lot safer now that much of the “sky” is also a kind of ‘ground.”
https://twitter.com/KremlinRussia_E/status/1004749009888731142
\m/
“WE MUST INFILTRATE THE INSTITUTIONS AND APPEAL TO NORMIES”
https://i.imgur.com/AfnCdPa.png
Except that they will see you coming from a fucking mile away. You won’t fool anyone. The mainstreamers/gradualists have been completely BTFO’d. FYI, Allsup was someone who came to prominence with the Charlottesville march and pushed – together with Vaughn and later even Anglin – for somekind of “GOP takeover”.
The complete and utter collapse of that strategy continues to this day. People don’t want to face the fact that the current institutions are beyond repair and a new slate is needed, and required.
I’m nowhere close to being a Mayflower descendant, but, even so, most of the blacks around these parts came way after I had folks here. I’m kind of wary of any “they have a right to be here” sentiment because the truth is they weren’t here – they moved here from the Deep South, in many cases traveling distances that would span Africa to Europe. And their moving here destroyed entire cities – in a snapshot way: worse than dropping an A-bomb on them – so I think the idea that they have the right to move everywhere, once they are on the landmass, is a false moralism, judging it in the only moral way – by its fruit.
You wonder where all this perverse ideology of multiculturalism and egalitarianism comes from? It comes from the Great Migration – the original mass movement of third world peoples into the first world. The malevolent, global Hollywood culture comes from the Great Migration.
I think the evil of what happened in the US has to be a part of the history, if Europeans are to learn any lessons. There’s a pattern to the ideology, and the US is the template for Europe. Hopefully, Europeans will ultimately be less passive, but the roots are already there – it is them living in the cities (just as blacks moved into the cities) which must be recognized as untenable.
BTW, blacks are still moving: outward from the cities.
I used to think the same, but Europe has a habit of importing the very worst of American cultural habits, and from what I’ve gathered when I visited Germany last year and spoke to some of the local activists, many of their blacks (while still a much smaller minority than in the States) are aping the US cultural norms outright and many white German lefties are even taking on the white guilt narrative.
Or take Sweden. They never went on the kind of rampage in the colonial world that France or UK did – though they had a few colonies of unimportant size – yet has that stopped the growth of radicialised racial politics there?
I noted in my reply to German_reader that I am a skeptic when it comes to cultural essentialist arguments (“we can’t learn from the Americans because they are somehow Fundamentally Different™ “). The same lesson applies in reverse. There’s nothing essentialist about Europe that makes us insulated.
I have these arguments with Polish nationalists all the time, too. Many of them nurse delusions that we are somehow magically insulated from Western trends. Again, the whole “oh but we’re different”. It’s one of the most common tropes I encounter when talking to nationalists, both domestically and abroad.
I agree. We can expect no self-restraint or moral temperance from the new colonists in Europe. (what temperance have they shown already?) To them, it is entirely immaterial that Europe is the native land of Europeans. If the ratio ever reaches something like 90:10, then it will North Africa or Rhodesia again. It doesn’t matter that it is European soil – that kind of morality is alien to them.
Where I disagree is I think climate matters. What would happen, if one turned off the heat to the Somalis in Sweden? Could Africans even work a power plant? Would they even want to split wood? I think they would be ready to leave in a hurry. Of course, that is Northern Europe and probably not true of the Mediterranean coast, and they would probably want to go there, rather than Africa. Nor are all the immigrants Somalis.
Well, they kind of do though, since they’re American citizens and the northern states fought a huge war to prevent the secession of the southern states where they originally lived.
It’s not that I have all that much sympathy for American blacks, imo their suffering has been vastly exaggerated, and their anti-social criminal behaviour been treated rather too leniently. I just don’t see how American whites could ever get rid of them without a dissolution of the US in its present form.
Doesn’t mean though one should allow immigration of more Africans like that annoying anti-white Nigerian a few threads back.
My feeling is that some climates are generally inhospitable to those who aren’t adapted to it: Finland, for example, with its long dark days appears hostile even to its own inhabitants in my experience and my sense is that has natural defenses against immigration.
The Long Dark takes you. Even electric light doesn’t stop the mood disruptions and increased suicides.
I think it is even possible that Northern people may be more naturally saturnine on a genetic level – more ready to hunker down. If so, I think the social anomie may really hit them harder. In the old days, people used to be really crammed together, so there was a forced socialization and family-life that probably mitigated things, unlike today.
Speaking for myself, I know that I couldn’t live any place that was too hot or too sunny. It wouldn’t be a matter of adapting – I just could not do it. One of my immigrant ancestors had a brother that died of heatstroke in his 20s – and that was in a Northern American city. It was just a different climate than the one he had been bred for.
USA is completely beyond repair, and there is nothing anyone can do about it. It will just gradually morph into a normal Latin American country. Western Europe will morph into Eurabia, and Russia will be helping French government fight Islamic rebels in Marseille or something, in exchange for a naval base.
I can totally see this happening. 🙂
Since this is an open thread, I draw your attention to a remarkable 8-episode documentary series shown on BBC in 1979-1980 called In Search of the Dark Ages, presented by the historian Michael Wood.
Each episode details a Dark Ages monarch from the British isles, beginning with Boudica (not actually from the Dark Ages of course) and ending with William the Conqueror.
The episode on Alfred the Great is particularly terrifying in how the vikings are described. The King of Northumbia was allegedly murdered by the vikings through a human sacrifice ritual to Odin known as the “blood eagle” in which a living man is cut open, his ribs broken, and lungs pulled out and spread like the wings of an eagle (note: disputed by historians, it’s also claimed he died in battle or was thrown into a pit of snakes). Rather than face the vikings, King Burgred of Mercia abicated and fled to Rome.
At England’s lowest ebb Alfred was hidden out in a primitive improvised field fortification with no more than a few dozen supporters in the marshes of Somerset. It seems he was able to maintain contact with loyal fyrds (who presumably falsely swore allegiance to the vikings) in neighboring shires through secret messengers, and finally was able to face the vikings in battle with his loyal retainers and levies and beat them.
Alfred was the only hope left for the English at that time. All the other Anglo-Saxon kingdoms had fallen to the vikings and were under the rule of puppet monarchs who had sworn fealty to the vikings. The episode makes the point of starting the show from Britain’s WW2 command center to draw a comparison between Churchill and Alfred.
There’s an amusing bit of proto-PC in the episode about Aethelred the Unready. Wood decries Aethelred’s order to massacre Danish settlers as racist. We constantly hear all about anti-Jewish pogroms in the middle ages–what about the real victims—vikings? 🙂
The episode about Boudica recounts the remarkable speech given by the Roman general Gaius Suetonius Paulinus to his men before joining battle with the Iceni:
In addition to being excellently presented with rich narration and footage of the English countryside, Wood’s fashion choices make for an amusing time capsule.
If one wants to learn about Northumbria, I recommend David Rollason, Northumbria, 500-1100: Creation and destruction of a kingdom. Tells you probably everything there is to know about Northumbria (which is often surprisingly little, there are huge gaps in our knowledge due to the nature of the sources).
Regarding Anglo-Saxon England more generally Frank Stenton’s Anglo-Saxon England (first published in 1943, iirc there was a later revised edition though) is still worth reading. Some essays by James Campbell (e.g. The late Anglo-Saxon state) are also quite interesting, making the argument that 10th century Anglo-Saxon England was one of the most sophisticated states in Western Christendom at the time.
How do they explain that and why do they think that they will remain different?
Is that Tacitus? I wouldn’t trust him, but some of the speeches he gives people are still fun: “They make a desert, and call it peace.”
Still, he doesn’t own the top apocryphal quote of all time: “What is best in life?…”
France will be the pillar of Eurafrica, recolonized by Congolese.
Putin is a reasonable guy. Israel is a reasonable country. Neither all good nor all bad.
The real mystery of Northumbria is why the dialects of the region are so horrible.
There exists a Northumbrian Chronicle (which has a pro-viking point of view) which is lost to history. Perhaps it will be discovered one day. What we know comes from Byrhtferth, the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle, the Sagas, and literature from the High Middle Ages.
Wood claims that visitors from the Continent claimed Anglo-Saxon England was the richest kingdom in Christendom. If true, this makes the North Sea divergence even earlier than currently thought (economic historians claim it began around 1200).
Yes, it’s Tacitus. His father-in-law was on Suetonius’ staff and present at the battle, so the speech is likely accurately recorded.
They also have much weaker heating systems in Western cities (generally) as well, leaving some people freezing and elderly people dying during the winter.
It’s an interesting counter-intuitive – that externally solid, high quality constructed looking buildings of Western countries, are often actually worse for humans in this simple way than some cheap Khrushchev buildings with hot water pushed through.
Indeed. Africa’s population is projected to double by 2050.
Either way we can expect a fair amount of instability in Western Europe, presenting opportunities for Russia to insert itself.
Those old Oxford History of Englands are generally pretty good (if a little dense) and available very cheaply, the classic being AJP Taylor’s from 1914-45. Naturally the new series OUP brought out is (although the volume I was able to buy cheaply second hand was actually very good) so ludicrously overpriced that only unviersity libraries could possibly afford it.
Early Northumbrian history is actually known in reasonably clear outline due to Bede’s ecclesiastical history. But after that it becomes rather obscure, iirc many of the kings in the century before the Viking conquest are only known from their coins.
What surprised me when reading Rollason’s book, is that the archbishop seems to have stayed in York after the Viking conquest and must presumably have come to some kind of arrangement with the new overlords. That’s somewhat at odds with the idea that they were all militant pagans, as the blood eagle story would indicate.
Well really the desirable thing is that it could be returned not to 2015 or 2014, but to 2013 – (but then also the dead brought back to life and only a god can do that).
Speeches in texts by ancient historians like Tacitus aren’t to be understood as faithful representations of the speeches actually given, iirc the principle was rather that they had to be plausible in the situation. There’s actually a speech by the emperor Cladius that is partially preserved in inscriptions (iirc it was about giving citizenship to Gaulish notables) and can be compared with the version in Tacitus’ Annales; the Tacitean version doesn’t really distort the content iirc, but is considerably different in its choice of words, rhetorical structure etc.
I think the US is fucked – if I am honest. I’m not even sure a dissolution is possible. The US is mostly contiguous, and technology probably favors a centralized power – unlike in Roman days. If it were a case of dissolution, speaking personally, I’d be happy to give them Mississippi and Alabama, maybe part of Georgia and the panhandle of Florida but no more. The maps of black separatists seem to have been much more ambitious. But that is all dreams, and does not seem like a likely scenario to me.
I favor an end to all group transfers of wealth and a return to freedom of association, but I think both are unlikely, without a war – and that would probably lead to separation. Heck, I’d even be happy to go back to Europe and eat algae burgers – if blacks, subcons and Arabs left, and we made sure they weren’t coming back.
My point about blacks and their rights is more about parallelism than the future of the US. They moved up North and everything else followed. Europeans (and Asians) need to recognize the evil of that in order to learn the true lesson. The absurd way someone below an 85 IQ can be given the right to vote, the affirmative action, the busing and the end to neighborhood compacts that really destroyed the cities – it all followed. It wasn’t politically possible to maintain freedom of association or of speech – not with the normal fecklessness of politicians.
The original cause may have been slavery, but it just set off a chain of dominoes which will cross the Atlantic, if allowed. Slavery is a dead issue – the evil of what followed needs to be recognized. Otherwise, it is just a greater personal indignity that is the difference between Europeans and Americans. Maybe, that is a motivator and worth something, but I doubt if it is enough to recognize open immigration is a problem. The “New Europeans” won’t recognize it, in any case, and will soon control the airports and other entryways.
Anyway, the moral for me is all those Arabs in Europe’s cities have to go back. They can’t remain in the cities, or Europe is done for. Blacks in America weren’t even specifically advocates of open borders – Muslims, Africans, and subcons in Europe are, and that won’t change.
It’s kind of an open question for me whether it will be Eurabia or Eurafrica. The first might prevent the second, but then if there is a coalition, you never can tell. There are those who prefer blacks to Arabs and might see them as allies. Fools, of course.
Others think there will be safety in there being so many different tribes. Also, fools.
I think that might be an idea worth exploring, if the US continues on its present trajectory, maybe white Americans (especially those who still have some connection to Europe) should indeed consider moving to Europe.
Of course political conditions in Europe itself would have to change for that…right now it’s easier for some Arab or African parasite to gain permanent residence in Germany than it would be for a white American.
The problem is that’s not exactly the story people exposed to US popular culture (and leftie-dominated European media) get to see…which is all about the suffering of blacks at the hands of white racists, and about the alleged generosity, forbearance and triumph over adversity of blacks. Most Europeans are only dimly aware of something like the fall of Detroit and its connection to black dysfunction.
Desirable by whom? Certainly not by this Russian nationalist. You realise that Russia was about to give Ukraine $15 billion loan in 2014? It was money the Ukraine would never have to repay. By spitting Putin in the face the Ukraine has done us a favor – we only gave them $3 billion. Also, we got Crimea back.
Putin’s approach to Ukraine has always been to treat it like bigger Chechnya, trying to bribe it with massive amounts of money. It was a very expensive, and ultimately, a dead end policy for Russia. Not a situation we want to restore.
I’m not a 3D Beer Pong MAGAtard, but something may be happening in the black community now with Kanye and Candace Owens.
They’ll never be our guys for a million and one reasons, but they might be more forceful about opposing immigration going forward. The Enemy of course has a ready made plan to deal with this: transferring the main focus of worship from negroes to homo-sexuals.
The logistics of this strike me as quite dubious.
There are two hundred million of us. Even if we use an expansive definition of Europe that includes Russia, that’s a population increase of one quarter.
Throw in Canadians, Aussies, and New Zealanders and you get another fifty million.
And while we like Europe and Europeans, even aside from the “diversity” issue (a shared problem) many political conditions in Europe are quite irritating to us. We like our guns, cheap gasoline, low taxes, and so forth.
The flipside is that with so many Americans suddenly in Europe voting in European elections, political conditions might change in a way Euros don’t like. Every European dweeb seems to think the most important thing in the entire world is Free Healthcare™ and Free Education™. And guns are very, very scary indeed.
And this is coming from someone with a Schengen passport. All I have to do to move anywhere in the EU is buy a plane ticket.
Eurafrica is more likely, at least in France.
Africa has stronger demography than the Arab world and a large Francophone population which would have an easier time in France than Arabs who would struggle with the language barrier.
The worst example, IMO, is Ireland. Ireland was a brutalized colony for hundreds of years. As late as 1798, churches were burnt down. They had summary executions and pitch-capped people (tarring their scalps and lighting them on fire) – somewhat akin to “necklacing” which is practiced by the blacks in South Africa. I don’t mean any of this to guilt the English. Lord knows, they don’t deserve what they got, and it doesn’t benefit Ireland, anyway.
The Nigerians there – who originally invaded through a loophole in the laws granting birthright citizenship – they weren’t even originally invited by the government (which has since turned multicult) – show zero restraint. They are hyper-racialized. Probably from their natural tribalism, but it is a political strategy whether genetic or cultural.
What is so funny about it is that Nigeria, if you count the interior, was only a real colony for like 60 years. Mostly benignly ruled by a tiny minority who instituted peace, opened schools, etc. and they left. Since then they’ve known war and famine, but they can still work themselves into being bitter about it. Nigerians hate Nigerian diversity, which they amusingly blame the British for, but are among the biggest advocates of it anywhere else, if it means more Nigerians – and it usually does.
I’ve witnessed something of this in America. Of course, there are Creoles, but we have a lot of Haitians now. There is something undeniably eerie about Haitians who still speak French, even though they murdered all the French women and children in their grasp.
And Europeans hate Christianity. I’m not a Christian myself so I don’t care but most white Americans like and respect Christianity. Even anti immigrant Europeans are left wing on every other issue. And, German_reader being the exception, most right wing Europeans love blacks whereas American whites have a far more nuanced view about blacks.
And building on what you said, it’s not just that Europeans don’t want guns in their own countries, they get angry that Americans have guns in America. Boris N I remember was really pissed at America for not having free healthcare even though he admitted that Russian healthcare sucked.
I should have added an qualifier, like “Americans who don’t like what the US is becoming, and who have some sympathy for Europe and could imagine living there”.
Obviously that eliminates the many millions of white Americans who really believe in all the diversity idiocy.
Sorry, I don’t have much sympathy for that kind of GOP plutocratic attitude, imo it’s one of the reasons why Trump’s “populism” will deservedly fail. And health care in Europe isn’t exactly “free” (Britain’s absurd NHS system is atypical).
France will be a majority black Islamic Republic, the best of both worlds. Many (most?) of the blacks in France are also Muslims anyway.
I probably would not have agreed with Muhammad Ali much, but I do think it was kind of refreshing how he wasn’t an advocate of diversity and even promoted separation. I suspect Candice Owen is somewhat Conservative, Inc. I never thought I would say this before, but I think it would actually be interesting if Kanye ran on a third party ticket and got enough votes to be part of the debate.
The gay stuff is just weird. It is hard to understand how it is even possible. Some say it was AIDS, the deaths made them sympathetic in a way that would not have been remotely possible otherwise.
Those are stereotypes which have only a tenuous connection to European realities.
And come on, you can’t seriously believe things like “most right-wing Europeans love blacks”, lol.
In terms of natural resources, I think greatest historical Eurasian extent would be more than enough – even if going by genetic history if you count Ancient North Eurasians – if properly managed. That’s not an overnight thing, but still quite possible. That would be enough resources, without rent-seeking, for colonies in space.
Of course, the politics of it would be difficult to work. Where would the Euro mutts go?
I think the idea has a special kind of humor to it. How often are we said to have stolen the land? I’d like nothing better than to turn around and say “Okay, we are leaving, we are taking or destroying what we built, but we will leave you with the blueprints – if you can figure it out.”
Are you denying that right wing Europeans are anti Christian, anti gun, pro fighting climate change, pro free healthcare (which we can’t have in America because unlike you we have to deal with large numbers of blacks) and think that American whites are persecuting blacks? Are you denying that European right wingers seem to regard disbelief in evolution as a personal insult?
I know you are anti black, but right wing western Euros in my experience are very sympathetic with American blacks. Even Hitler criticized America’s treatment of blacks. And in fairness, American blacks were on the receiving end of some really excessive hatred and discrimination at the hands of white America for hundreds of years, although the situation today isn’t like that at all.
Could add other riders such as “young enough to move” and “can contribute to Europe”. You could still end up with tens of millions of people though, and presumably they’d gravitate to Britain and Ireland for obvious reasons.
Like I was saying earlier…
I’m in favor of a number of economic populist measures simply because they’re politically expedient (and some genuinely good ideas), but full-blown social democracy is to be avoided at all costs. Long-term the welfare state must be dismantled. Screw losers.
This is the kind of economic populism I think is good electioneering: http://torontosun.com/news/provincial/pc-government-would-reintroduce-buck-a-beer-to-ontario-promises-ford
https://twitter.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1000439982430085121
Doug Ford is kind of a low-grade Canadian Trump who (it appears) just won the Ontario Elections.
Buck-a-beer is good populism because it’s cheap, easy to deliver, and provides highly visible benefits.
The bad kind of populism is Bernie Sanders wanting to make higher education “free”, which just feeds more resources to the monster.
I’m aware that healthcare in Europe isn’t “free” (even the NHS has to be paid for out of taxes, and not all services are free at the point of delivery), but idiotic American liberals genuinely believe that Europe and Canada have “free healthcare”. They are complete losers who are just as ignorant as American conservatives, yet wrongly believe they are cosmopolitan and childishly seek Europe’s acceptance in all matter. Kind of a mirror image of Europe’s “Atlanticists” in a way.
As for GOP plutocracy, you’re not wrong. A return of the “progressive” Republican tradition of trust busting is overdue, starting with the tech companies that hate us anyway.
Trump has permanently transformed American politics, so even if he personally fails (quite possible for a variety of reasons) the Republican Party will increasingly fight national elections on the basis of nationalism.
That seems very unlikely to me, given how Hitler supposedly was a fan of Madison Grant and admired the American eugenics movement.
Most of that isn’t true, e.g. anti-Christian attitudes are a fringe element among European right-wingers (mostly limited to extreme nationalists like me, haha), some form of gun ownership isn’t that uncommon in many European societies, climate change/renewable energies are controversial topics etc. It’s of course true that Europe is quite different from the US in many, many ways, but US right-wingers have a very strange view of Europe.
Are identitarian Europeans anti-gun? Any Euros here want to comment on that? It seems that Russians here are, other than the Americanized Karlin.
There’s a definite undercurrent of hostility to Christianity in Europe, and some Nordic identitarians even engage in church burning (in fairness, the state churches of the Nordic countries are embarrassingly pozzed).
You can however find serious Christianity in places like Ulster, the Dutch Bible Belt, Poland, Greece, and even Smolandia in Sweden (which is where most Swedish-Americans are from, as well as founder of IKEA Ingvar Kamprad).
Most American blacks already receive free healthcare through Medicaid or bullshit affirmative action jobs.
The climate change thing is true, but right-wing Americans are honestly out to lunch on this one.
You can believe in man made climate change without making “fighting climate change” into a secular religion. And that really is what it is. People who deny man made climate change aren’t just wrong, they are dangerous heretics. It is forbidden to even debate climate change skeptics because that would legitimize their evil views. Instead climate “deniers” need to be completely silenced.
I’m not in favour of socialism, but that seems rather short-sighted to me…how can you complain about alienation and lack of real community when you’re arguing in favour of unbridled “winner takes all” capitalism, with “losers” being seen as worthless trash? What could be more corrosive of real tradition and meaningful bonds between citizens?
That’s only bad because far too many people go to university, often studying useless or actually harmful subjects. The present system with its huge debt burden seems highly questionable as well though, and US right-wingers should think about a credible solution for that issue.
Something like meddling with the price of beer will only win the votes of low-grade proles.
I think there are still even a lot of German Christians – mostly farmer types. Not a high percentage of the population though, for certain.
I feel that way about Europe’s education system, too, though. At least the French one.
I know of at least a few women who continued attending university because they have nothing better to do. Besides Cathedral indoctrination, I don’t see what they are getting out of it(and I would know, I was their tutor – both critical thinking and simple writing skills were dubious).
It probably would be better in some ways if they just sat at home and went out clubbing instead.
The Swine Right 🙂
Vox Day is another ardent pro-capitalist.
The Right is incapable of learning.
Do you think social democracy creates real community? I certainly don’t feel a sense of community when I’m at Wal-Mart and see obese people purchasing soda pop with EBT cards (food stamps).
One can argue that social democracy erodes community by freeing people from dependence on family, friends, neighbors, etc.
Losers ARE worthless trash. I don’t mean proletarians, dullards, or otherwise decent people who are down on their luck. I mean actual losers.
Social insurance schemes which are actually properly funded are fine. Dweebs like Paul Ryan who dream of scrapping social insurance are absolute idiots. “Free” stuff to wastrels, idlers, and scoundrels are not.
I’m not a GOP proponent of unbridled capitalism (I support trust busting, reforming executive compensation, protectionism, etc.), but I’m also not a fan of half the national income being harvested as tax revenue and then spent on dubious programs.
As for community, an underappreciated factor in the lack of it in North America is our urban planning. Compare to Japan: http://urbankchoze.blogspot.com/2014/04/japanese-zoning.html
The federal government should restore merit-based civil service examinations and announce that it will hire any US citizen of good moral character who can pass the civil service exam, regardless of educational credentials.
The Department of Education should also require any educational institution accepting federal funds to adopt a similar exam system for hiring staff. It could also use its powers to ban “diversity” programs and such. Congress should subpoena Ivy League officials about their admissions practices.
Student loans should be reformed so that they can be discharged in personal bankruptcy once more, and colleges should be made to co-sign all student loans. Only vocational majors should be eligible for student loans, and private sector student loans should be banned.
These reforms would pop the college bubble.
So what? They vote. And Doug Ford WON.
The student debt issue is an obvious populist issue in America for the millennial vote (and, soon, the Generation Zyklon vote). Democrat programs to provide people with “free college” do nothing to help the millions of Americans burdened with student debt right now. Let them discharge their debts in bankruptcy.
Cheap populism is good because the government can deliver it without going broke, yet it still drives people to the polls. Much higher ROI that garbage like universal pre-kindergarten.
I’m in favor of a certain noblesse oblige, for more homogeneous societies, it could still even mean something ambitious, but it can’t involve politicians putting their hands in people’s pockets or the inevitable consequences will be disastrous. In my view, the welfare state caused the Doom to descend on Sweden.
I’m really for IQ testing – it is a better metric than anything else: degrees, experience, or references. And I think it along with some other modifications to the law – making it easier to hire or fire people recently hired would take care of about 90% of everything, or more. Of course, it is illegal here because of racial issues. There’d still need to be engineering degrees, but their form would probably change to one that involved apprenticeship, or shorter increments of time, built on each other with jobs in between.
In the absence of the social environment of college, there would possibly need to be a greater community emphasis on bringing young men and women together, but that is quite doable.
Vox Day is a libertarian other than on trade. I left that religion a decade ago.
Swine Right wins elections.
Oink oink.
Are they well funded? My understanding is that US Social Security is a classic redistribution scheme, funded by taxes paid by the current generation of workers. As the US population continues to age, and whites gets displaced by unproductive POCs, Social Security becomes unsustainable.
Projections from Congressional Budget Office show that spending on Social Security and other “entitlements” is set to greatly outpace future budget revenues. US govt will literally run out of money.
Well thank God you’re not a libertarian at least.
The truth is after you described your position it doesn’t sound so terrible. More nuanced.
But I do think still higher levels of communal solidarity will be necessary for a really effective political program.
Giving money to wastrels – no. That’s a character flaw. But assistance for the weakest members of society – surely yes.
You seem to appreciate the Japanese, to your credit. They are a good template.
You are correct, they’re improperly funded. Payroll taxes on work (half paid by employers, half by employees) are paid out immediately to current beneficiaries. Started in the 1960s the government began using this revenue for purposes other than Social Security (and Medicare after it was created) as well. Surplus revenues were since the 80s invested in a “trust fund”, but the trust fund invests in “non-marketable Treasury securities”.
This was actually the only way they could be Constitutionally created, as the US government argued that Social Security was simply an income tax and a spending program. Under Constitutional law as it was practiced at that time actual social insurance was unconstitutional.
Solvency of Social Security is an overblown issue as the government can always raise taxes or cut benefits. Or both. It’s not optimal of course, and it doesn’t create the sense of ownership and skin in the game such programs ought to foster.
My economic program:
-Free markets domestically
-Protectionism–specific focus on technology acquisition
-Low taxes
-Fully funded skin-in-the-game social insurance
-No welfare
-Trust busting
-Regulate the tech monopolies
-Reform executive compensation (which is really just looting from stockholders…like me)
-Increased anti-fraud prosecutions
-Big ticket infrastructure programs
-Moon shot programs
OK with some outright SOCIALIST schemes such as postal banking. The USPS could offer free checking accounts to people who are too dull to avoid getting nickel & dimed by the banks for instance.
Sure. But the idea we’re going to get that from the economy is a socialist pipe dream (not saying you’re a socialist). The economy will deliver us Costco instead.
Family, clubs, religion, art, architecture, music, nature, parks, and the comments section of Karlin’s blog will deliver our communal solidarity.
Sounds like a nice sentiment and was quite modest in aim initially. Metastasized out of control.
What do you propose?
A lot to admire there, but they’re circling the drain as well in many ways. Extremely low fertility, the rise of the “grass eaters”, widespread sexual perversion, increasing immigration, mass mobilization of women into the workforce, etc.
Certainly, I didn’t mean to imply it was just an American phenomenon.
Some subjects (e.g. sociology, political science) should just be abolished imo.
reiner tor often complains about how Orban spends huge sums on football stadiums and other low-brow entertainment, but has managed to turn teachers and others in the education sector against him…something like that is a huge weakness imo.
But your economic programme is more nuanced than it seemed at first…you just need to try not to scare away people with slogans like “Screw losers” that can easily be misunderstood 🙂
Orban’s spending on sports aren’t responsible for (alleged) under-investment in education.
I’ll defer to the Magyar Miracle since it’s his country, but I found this: https://knoema.com/atlas/Hungary/topics/Education/Expenditures-on-Education/Public-spending-on-education-as-a-share-of-GDP
4.6% of GDP on education is fine. Singapore (admittedly a lot richer than Hungary) only spends 3%. White countries tend to spend too much money on education compared to Asian ones. Japan only has one teacher for each 38 students.
And let’s not forget that schools are prisons for children and teachers are goldbricking incompetent parasites who picked child abuse as a career. I would be ashamed to have the support of teachers.
That’s why I comment as Thorfinnsson, so as not to create a paper trail with which I can be hanged in the future. I am a proponent of a Straussian strategy in which we communicate truthfully with our pseudonyms, but organize and campaign publicly with “alt lite” civic nationalist pablum.
We shouldn’t even reveal our real identities to each other as a general rule of thumb. Provided we keep our comms secure this defeats counterintelligence efforts by The Enemy. We’ll know who our guys are anyway.
Though I think in America you actually could win an election with a “screw losers” platform. You would convince your supporters that they’re WINNERS for voting for you, whereas the opposition consists solely of losers.
President Trump literally calls people losers every day. 🙂
Any congressman that votes to cut Social Security benefits will be voted out. It’s not as easy as you think.
Another option would be to reduce military spending. What is more politically untenable in the US: cutting the entitlements or the military spending?
Lol…You seriously comparing Syria, a country where every major city, every major road has been heavily involved in war with multiple deaths each year since 2011,with large swathes of the country taken over or under attack at one time of another by 100000’s of terrorists, that doesn’t have any serious arms industry, hasn’t for decades been designing and manufacturing components for the Russian defense industry….and thus has an urgent requirement for these excellent examples of civilian ingenuity ,
…to a country (Ukraine) where 2% of the area is in a state of war, whose military/militia’s are funded by oligarchs and the IMF, have for decades been manufacturing and designing components for the Russian arms industry,…and thus have no reason whatsoever to manufacture this hilarious and failed junk
LOL….even for a retarded dumb cunt as you, this is funny….., of the hundreds of years of fake history that a sociopathic cunt freak like you invents out of thin air for “Ukraine”, that somehow relies on it’s legitimacy the ridiculous fake state of 1917-22 that Banderatards somehow rely on, or the failed independence after 1991….the Ukrainian military-industrial complex somehow comes down to…….4 years of Yanukovich!
Just about sums up the dumb, insidious scumbag nonsense you have.
During which time (Yanukovich) he probably did the greatest bit of business in Ukraine’s ” pathetic pseudo-history when he extorted Russia which a brilliantly large amount for Naval base renewal in Sevastopol and plenty of other joint-project work with Russia such as in avionics and numerous other projects in the defence sphere that kept several of Ukraine’s companies afloat.
Again, ridicuously stupid fantasist attention-whoring nonsense, with a country criminally underprepared in it’s military you stupid POS.
Wat do with the Green/Feminism/Social-Liberalism/etc. fetish of journalists?
https://twitter.com/jonatanpallesen/status/1003714456596213760
Rather depends on the district, and cuts could be presented as some kind of “emergency” the way they rammed through the TARP bank bailout in 2008.
And a more likely strategy is that they vote to reduce future benefits in a stealthy way so no one really notices other than AARP (lobbying group for the elderly). For instance a steady raising of the retirement age in the future. Or they could reform taking early Social Security (you can sign up at 62 but you get lower benefits) to pay even fewer benefits that it does now, taking advantage of the fact that most people are hyperbolic discounters.
Some people, including Paul Craig Roberts who you can read on this site, allege that the US government manipulates the Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) to reduce inflation-adjusted benefits over time. I think he’s wrong but it’s certainly plausible.
Then there’s always raising taxes, which was done in the 1980s. Because Social Security is supposedly a social insurance program in which the benefits received are proportionate to what you paid into the system, wages over $118,500 are not subject to payroll taxes. Liberal Democrats propose lifting this cap.
This would require a change in the law since the Department of Defense is funded out of general revenues (income taxes, tariffs, mineral rights leasing, etc.) rather than FICA payroll taxes.
I think cutting entitlements is more politically tenable for the simple reason that the US elite is substantially supportive of it, whereas they are not supportive of cutting defense spending.
Here’s a good example from 2010: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Commission_on_Fiscal_Responsibility_and_Reform
While the final plan does propose capping “discretionary spending” (which includes the military) the military is not explicitly mentioned, Social Security comes in for specific cuts:
And this celebrated elite bipartisan commission, ostensibly about improving America’s fiscal solvency, proposed…income tax cuts.
I was actually at a dinner party with some members of America’s elite (businessmen and their wives–no politicians, lawyers, officers, etc.) shortly after this was released. The recommendations of the plan received glowing reviews and admiration from all the executives and entrepreneurs there.
They’ll never explicitly cut the size of the check current retirees get each month, but they will fiddle with future payouts once Trump is gone (or they’ll just bamboozle Trump).
The defense spending situation, despite being absurd, on the contrary seems hopeless. Everyone is afraid to not SUPPORT THE TROOPS, and furthermore it’s personally lucrative to support the interests of the military-industrial complex. Even when the military-industrial complex delivers a $13 billion aircraft carrier that can neither launch nor recover aircraft (seriously), no one gets raked over the coals for it.
Trump occasionally does some good on specific programs when something catches his attention and makes him angry, but he too is broadly in favor of massive defense spending. Supposedly the only reason he signed the horrible omnibus funding bill in March was because of its big increases in defense spending.
Polls don’t close yet. He is expected to win, and the Liberals are expected to get wiped out. The question is how well the Euro-socialist NDP do – if they do well enough he won’t have 50%.
10th century Anglo-Saxon England was one of the most sophisticated states in Western Christendom at the time.
Interestingly, a strong case can be made that French as a written language essentially began in England, as a direct “emulation” of (Anglo-Saxon) English.
In support of this conclusion, the author points out that the oldest French works in a large number of categories are first found in works composed in England in the dialect of French peculiar to England, including the oldest French-language
· charter
· law
· historical writing
· collections of miracles of the Virgin
· hagiography, in both prose and verse
· plays
· adventure narrative
· fables and lais
· fabliau (medieval tale in verse)
· translation of monastic rules
· scientific literature
· technical treatises
· works by women writers
In addition, a number of works which were clearly composed (orally) in continental France were apparently first put on paper (or parchment) in England. The most notable example is the French national epic itself, La Chanson de Roland: not only does the oldest manuscript reside in Oxford University Library, but the language is the French of England, not that of France.
How do the French explain the fact that the earliest manuscripts of their language are almost all to be found in England, and written in “Anglo-French”? To the very limited extent that the issue is addressed at all, the normal assumption seems to be that these are copies of the “original” manuscripts – written in “Parisian” French – which unfortunately have all disappeared. In the nineteenth century, when texts of the Chanson de Roland and other early French literature “preserved” in England libraries was first published in France, the language was often “corrected” to what it “should have been”, rather than what actually appeared on the manuscripts.
It will have to be Spain to win, then. Given the fractious state of the peninsula, any celebrations will be of a restrained kind as in 2010. Also, they’re an all-white team ( correct me if I’m wrong ) and infinitely preferable to the Merkelscheissen.
That’s somewhat at odds with the idea that they were all militant pagans, as the blood eagle story would indicate.
I don’t think anyone seriously disputes that the Vikings settled down to “normal” life at some point. In this regard, a fascinating picture into Viking life in Northumbria is presented in the Jorvik Viking Center in York [Anglo-Saxon Eoforwic became Viking Jorvik which then became York]
Why do you like guns? The only reason I could reason I could see why someone might own a gun would be if they like hunting in the countryside or they live in a very vibrant area.
Interesting, I hadn’t known that. It seems quite plausible, Anglo-Saxon England did have a lively literary culture in the vernacular (which was also widely used for charters, administrative documents and the like), which was impacted negatively by the Conquest, but may still have served as something of a model.
Revenge
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/fa/Copenhagen_on_fire_1807_by_CW_Eckersberg.jpg
It’s possible (some kind of civil conflict in Europe, or a total collapse).
But the most likely scenarios is probably just that it survives, and continues not that differently, just with a general deterioration demographically, and an increase in terrorism.
In this case, there will be some Islamist political parties inside European parliaments (getting around 15% of the vote.
At the same time, there will be increase in security and surveillance by the government. Otherwise, things will continue in the general trend.
I actually was there back in 1998, but tbh I’ve forgotten most of it…was already a bit too old for it iirc (the intended audience seemed to be mostly children).
One has to simply acknowledge that much can’t be known with any certainty, even the extent of Danish settlement in the Danelaw (mass settlement of peasants or just a relatively small stratum of overlords?) is disputed after all.
They’re fun and cool. That’s reason enough.
I do also hunt.
Plus there are other reasons which can’t be discussed at length because these comms aren’t secure.
Do they speak actual French or just some pidgin version?
What type of animals do you usually hunt, big or small ones?
To be fair Macron has implemented some reforms to make the university entrance requirements more selective (although probably not enough).
Just like that? I’m pretty sure the party in opposition will notice, and turn it into a campaign issue. These programs enjoy universal support. Democrats are going to oppose any cuts for ideological reasons. Republicans rely on votes from old white people, which means that even conservatives in solid red districts are at risk of losing their seats through primary challenges.
This went nowhere precisely because touching the entitlements is such a risky proposition for US politician. As I recall, Comprehensive Immigration Reform was supposed to be “common-sense” and “easy”. It didn’t happen, despite overwhelming elite support, because there was just enough grassroot opposition to derail it. To put it simply, Republican congressmen were afraid of losing their seats. Reforming the entitlements will be so much harder.
I expect that US entitlements in fact won’t be cut, as the Congress will never muster its will to do it, and by 2030 they will be funded out of general revenues, at the expense of other spending items, including the military.
Mostly white tail deer, though I do some varminting on occasion. I have also applied for a permit to hunt black bears, though there’s a 7 year waiting list in my state. Not sure if I’ll ever go through with it as I’m quite fond of bears. Pulling the trigger on deer is hard enough.
I’d like to get into fowling. Mainly as an excuse to get a bird dog. 🙂
Who says Republicans will push the cuts?
In the future the Democrats might declare Social Security to be “racist”.
It went nowhere because there was a Republican Congress and a Democratic President who hated eachother. Nothing went anywhere after the 2010 midterms.
You might be right about your prediction, though it wouldn’t necessarily be at the expense of other spending items. Could just be through a larger budget deficit. US life expectancy has also started declining, which might result in lower than expected Social Security and Medicare outlays in the future.
Grass roots opposition to “immigration reform” might be stronger than support for Social Security is. For lots of us immigration is the single most important issue, period. Other than AARP members I don’t think that’s the case with Social Security. Plus the people who NEED Social Security are losers and thus not very politically effective.
That said just about every baby boomer I’ve ever talked to, including highly successful ones, are outraged by any suggestion of Social Security cuts. This includes my father who certainly doesn’t need the money.
A good question. I’ve never studied French, so I can’t answer definitively but my impression is that, of the Haitians that emigrate, they do tend to speak a kind of real or variant French more than their average countrymen probably would.
I wonder if that might be something of the Church’s influence in education. I know they sometimes used to make special collections for Haiti.
I don’t expect a total collapse, outside of war. There’s an old expression which I think mostly runs true: there is a lot of ruin in a country.
Islam will probably become quite a powerful political force within Europe if allowed, esp. considering the natural state of politics in Europe is somewhat more fractious than in some other polities. I think they have a potential to muster their vote in a way that blacks, although they vote monolithically, usually don’t.
As far as I’m concerned, it will be a race between the increasingly draconian state and terrorism. Terrorism is the spark that could easily set off a powder keg. It possibly would have already happened, except for the surveillance state.
Doug Ford is kind of a low-grade Canadian Trump who (it appears) just won the Ontario Elections.
It was looking like a close-run thing with the left wing NDP, led by a likeable candidate (Andrea Horwath) who stayed away from SJWism despite being a leftist in the California of Canada! Instead she concentrated on economic issues and to the surprise of many led in the polls at one point. The conservative Ford then painted the NDP as crazy SJWs who’d bankrupt the province. Then, for some reason, she said she’d make Ontario the country’s first sanctuary province – many Haitian and other “refugees” from Trump’s America have been flooding into Canada. Judging by social media that seems to have made an impact with people who were flirting with the NDP.
The Atlantic has an article about the amount of numbers needed to change society’s viewpoint.
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/06/the-tipping-point-when-minority-views-take-over/562307/
It is rather simplistic, but it led me to wonder what mass do you think we would need to in order to enact real change?
The commenters on this blog are enough.
We just need a plan.
He is alive, met with the head of the UAE yesterday.
https://www.emirates247.com/news/government/mohamed-bin-zayed-mohammed-bin-salman-chair-first-meeting-of-saudi-emirati-coordination-council-2018-06-07-1.670085
Oh well, was probably too much to hope for. Thanks!
I propose nothing – I leave the practical details to men such as you – and you seem more than capable. I am merely a first principles man, a values and ideals man.
Remember though to collect all your people. Leave no one behind. Trump calls the Enemy losers, not his own people.
One can only hope. Ultimately, I think the challenges lay in the combination of : “getting education” being high status, education being mostly free, and “getting education” being overall easier or at least less intimidating than getting a job. Expectations play a part, of course, because once you’re educated, you can’t just work as a cashier or waitress anymore(unless you are Finnish, for some reason).
Just a variety of clustered messy conflicting incentives all serving ultimately to get not very much done.
I really enjoy and learn from your perspective on Eastern Europe.
I’d just say that most european countries will NOT continue to be populated by white secular liberals or whites at all. Simply because white people in Europe do not have many children, even less by TFR than white people in the USA.
There are fewer white people in Europe every year, liberal or otherwise, secular or otherwise, and more nonwhite people in Europe every year. That’s true for England, France, Italy, Germany, Sweden, Austria, Benelux countries, etc. Even Greece has a declining Greek population and a steadily growing Muslim population approaching six percent nationwide.
The Muslim takeover scenario becomes more plausible and more likely with each passing year. The demographic momentum is starting to accelerate in favor of the takeover, as there are fewer white women of childbearing age in each of those countries every single year.
One good way to determine who will likely control the culture, streets, and government tomorrow is to check the demographics of the secondary schools. What percent of people in Germany under age 18 are actually german or even just white european? Same with each country, and the answer is frightening for all NW, western, and Central European countries on the list above.
We are also not yet seeing massive white flight from Europe, but the trend is apparently just getting underway as retiring Germans trickle eastward to buy homes in Hungary etc. when possible. Flight on a meaningful scale will only hasten the Muslim takeover of most of Europe.
You’re right. And we shouldn’t assume that Germany will have the resources to compensate Eastern Europe in the future. Germany will be splitting the pie more ways, raising taxes much higher just to try and provide food, shelter, housing, schools, and of course prosecutors and prisons, for their growing millions of Africans, Arabs, and Turks.
Probably broadly like Fatherland, with a couple of exceptions.
(a) Has a big enough time advantage to democidally bomb Germany into submission;
(b) Doesn’t, Germany develops the bomb, and peace is signed; in which case-
Oceania vs. Eurasia, with Eurasia now stretching to the English channel.
Nazi Europe more competitive than the USSR, due to higher human capital and a more developed and freer economy. Though even metropolitan Germany is poorer per capita than the US due to industrial cartels and higher corruption.
Has a better chance of of winning the ideological struggle.
That said, a color revolution might well take the senescent authoritarian system down by the 70s or 80s.
Perhaps there is a “synthesis” of the two systems into something like the Nazi democracy of the Draka on both sides of the Atlantic.
The old boomer generation of Russian nationalists generally are anti-gun.
The younger, more libertarian and economically more literate (if more socially pozzed) nationalists such as the Sputnik & Pogrom crowd – Russia’s leading nationalist journal – are pro-gun.
So it’s not completely fair to ascribe my pro-gun stance to my Americanization, considering that many nationalists of my generation have the same outlook.
DC and its people suck year-around.
The other young nationalists are also Americanized (to a lesser degree) thanks to Americanized Globalist culture.
Correct.
Same thing in most of the world. And it’s not an entirely bad thing, considering that American culture is quite impressive and certainly very efficient.
They win ‘elections’ in spite of their social policies, for cultural reasons.
Russians and other ex-sovok countries don’t really care about the topic, its a minor public safety issue (the commonsense approach imo). Older ‘boomers’ (really showing the Americanisation here) would simply ask why on earth you would need a gun, as it is seen as a tool, not a luxury item.
A past and present history of universal conscription really takes the glamour out of guns as well. However, nobody will care if you happen to be gun-nut, though they may think you a bit odd. In Armenia and Caucasus gun ownership is common and unremarked on.
Anyone who thinks that the right to own guns is a minor issue, typically lives and works in places that don’t have lots of hostile and unstable Africans, as we do in the USA.
How are the anti-gun pussies in Germany, Sweden, England, and France doing under the Arab/African onslaught without guns for self-defense?
I think something like a fifth of all German households have a gun in them. Much lower than in the USA, but much higher than in the UK, or than what is generally assumed.