Last updated: Feb 1, 2022

Prospective Books

Idiot’s Limbo

Book length development of my concept The Age of Malthusian Industrialism as a pretty bad future scenario that we should try to avoid:

In the decades and centuries to come, technological progress will slow to a crawl, as dysgenic reproduction patterns deplete the world’s remaining smart fractions (assuming that there are no abrupt discontinuities in humanity’s capacity for collective problem solving, such as genetic IQ augmentation or machine superintelligence). In the meantime, due to fertility preferences being heritable and ultra-competitive in a post-Malthusian world, populations will explode, as the world enters an epochal baby boom not long after 2100. This renewed demographic expansion will last until the world hits the carrying capacity of the late industrial economy, which will usher in the Age of Malthusian Industrialism.

Quantified Russia

A summary of and a capstone to my Russia watching career (formerly known as The Dark Lord of the Kremlin).

Apollo’s Ascent

Project site: Apollo’s Ascent

Book length version of my essay on theory of Apollo’s Ascent, which is possibly my single most original contribution to cliodynamics/psychometrics. My basic thesis is that the historical rate of world technological growth can be approximated with by the numbers of literate “smart fractions” who could work on solving problems – but since problems tend to become harder over time, progress would inevitably slow down to a standstill whenever literacy and average IQ stagnated.

Frozen Embers

Sci-fi novel  in which the Earth falls out of the Sun’s orbit.

Centuries ago, the Earth was flung out of the Sun’s orbit by a rogue black hole that came to be known as Nemesis. As this cosmic bullet approached, the lucky few selected for survival retreated to the EarthRail, a globe-spanning system of tunnels, caves, and bunkers powered by geothermal energy.

Within a few years, all life on the surface withered and died, as the atmosphere itself liquified and fell as rain. A cold, deathly, and eternal stillness descended upon the outer world.

Our once verdant planet is now a barren, frozen wasteland hurtling through the black emptiness of space, the embers of industrial civilization flickering beneath the ice. The last remnants of humanity eke out a subsistence existence amidst the ruins. Though nominally controlled by independent station-states and subterranean imperiums, this world is ruled from the shadows by an esoteric cabal known only as the Cathedral.

Unlocking the ancient secrets behind Nemesis will either be the key to overthrowing their obscure tyranny – or will doom what’s left of the human species.